The EURUSD stalled just below its 200-日移动平均线（1.07258） at the start of the 美国会议, while fluctuating around the 50%中点（1.0695） of the September-to-January decline. Buyers stepped in following ADP数据疲软, while 好于预期的工厂订单和ISM数据 provided mixed signals and little in the way of dollar buying (at least for now).

Additionally, 欧洲股市走高 may be attracting capital flows into the pair. Despite 美国指数小幅上涨, they lack strong upside momentum, contributing to continued dollar selling.

The buying pressure in the US session has now pushed 欧元兑美元高于200日移动平均线 for the first time since 月6, signaling a bullish shift. For buyers, staying above this level is key to sustaining upward momentum. A drop back below could signal a 突破失败, with the 50%中点至1.06951 serving as a key downside target—if broken, it would reinforce a bearish bias.

On the upside, resistance is seen in a 挥杆面积在1.07609和1.07767之间. A break above this zone would further strengthen bullish momentum, opening the door toward the 9月跌幅1.08174的61.8%回撤. Buyers now look to hold above the 200-日均线 to keep the bullish outlook intact.