The GBPUSD has been in a steady uptrend since bottoming at 1.20987 on 1月13, a low that aligned closely with support levels from 2024年9月和10月 (see red circle on the daily chart). Since then, the pair has continued to step higher, carving out a series of higher lows and higher highs.

In 二月, price action found support at a swing area between 1.22986和1.2335, reinforcing bullish intent. That momentum carried into 三月, with the pair moving back above the 200-日均线, currently at 1.28028, and into a key swing zone that extends up to 1.28612. Notably, dips over the past two days have 就在上挥杆区域之前停滞, signaling strong underlying support.

The pair is now trading at new session highs, reaching 1.2989, just shy of the 3月高点1.30139, which also marks the 全年最高水平. A break above that level would likely spark further bullish momentum.

Zooming into the hourly chart, early-day price action saw a bounce in GBPUSD following the 特朗普关税新闻, which triggered a wave of buying. The initial move higher tested the 100-小时均线 near 1.2922 (blue line on the chart), where sellers initially leaned in. However, the downside was limited, and once the price broke above the 100-小时MA, bullish momentum carried it through the 200-小时MA as well.

That initial breakout, though, was short-lived, as the price chopped back and forth. The encouraging sign for buyers came when the 回调在100小时均线再次找到支撑, reinforcing its importance. That successful retest gave bulls the green light to resume the move higher, lifting the pair toward the 1.3000心理水平.

The pair is now trading near key resistance at 1.30139, the 三月份新高 and the 全年最高水平. A sustained break above that level would strengthen the bullish bias and open the door for further upside.

On the flip side, 未能突破1.30139 would dent short-term bullish momentum. Still, it would take a drop back 低于200小时平均水平1.2949 and especially the 100-小时MA为1.2922 to shift the bias more definitively in favor of sellers.