贸易指南针 for Nasdaq Futures – January 23, 2025

NQ分析时的现价： 21,894
The 贸易指南针 guides our bullish and bearish thresholds and outlines profit-taking targets to help you navigate the Nasdaq Futures market effectively. Here's the breakdown:

看涨情景

• 上方看涨： 21,928
• 多头头寸的利润目标：
  1. 21,945 – Aligns with the current Value Area High (VAH). Move your stop to the entry point here.
  2. 21,965 – Just below today's VWAP.
  3. 21,988.5 – Another quick target near resistance.
  4. 22,017 – Slightly below yesterday's POC, a critical area to assess strength.
  5. 22,054 – A key level to monitor for momentum.
  6. 22,073 – Positioned just under yesterday's VAH.
  7. 22,120 – A higher extension target.
  8. 22,184 – Final extended target for bullish moves.

熊市情景

• Bearish Below: 21,800

• 空头头寸的利润目标：

  1. 21,862 – Positioned above the second lower standard deviation of yesterday's VWAP and near the current VAL.
  2. 21,852 – A follow-up target for quick profit-taking.
  3. 21,817.5 – Another key level indicating a deeper move.
  4. 21,780 – Near today's third lower standard deviation and above January 20th’s VAH.
  5. 21,731.5 – A more distant target representing a significant price move.
  6. 21,673 – Just above January 21st's VWAP.
  7. 21,634.5 – The ultimate target at January 21st’s VAL.

使用交易量概况和VWAP进行交易的好处

在纳斯达克期货交易策略中使用成交量概况和VWAP（成交量加权平均价格）可以提供多种优势：

1. 增强的价格预测：
   Volume Profile identifies key price levels where significant trading activity occurred, highlighting zones of support and resistance. VWAP helps gauge the average price weighted by volume, offering insights into market sentiment for Nasdaq futures today.

2. 市场背景：
   These tools help distinguish between trending and consolidating markets, enabling traders to adapt their strategy effectively.

3. 收件箱和出口的关键级别：
   By analyzing the interaction of price with VWAP and Value Area levels (such as VAH and VAL), traders can find high-probability entry and exit points for both bullish and bearish trades.

4. 风险管理：
   Volume Profile highlights areas of strong support or resistance, while VWAP bands offer natural zones for placing stop-loss orders. This ensures disciplined risk control in volatile Nasdaq price movements.

5. 识别逆转和趋势：
   VWAP and its deviations dynamically adjust based on trading activity, helping traders spot early signs of reversals or trend continuations in Nasdaq price prediction.

6. 跨时间段的可扩展性：
   Both tools are effective for intraday trading as well as longer-term strategies, making them versatile for Nasdaq futures analysis.

重要注意事项

1. 停止管理：
   For both long and short trades, move your stop-loss to the entry point after hitting the first profit target to minimize risk.

2. 部分获利：
   Ensure you take profits progressively at each target to secure gains and reduce exposure.

3. 贸易指南针 as a Guide:
   Use these levels as an orientation to plan your trades. Adjust based on market behavior at key levels and current stats.

免责声明

This is not financial advice. Always trade with caution and proper risk management. Visit ForexLive.com for additional insights and updates.

谢谢，明智地交易！

►

Nasdaq Futures 贸易指南针 Update (January 23)

Today’s 贸易指南针 highlighted key thresholds for Nasdaq Futures, with a short trade triggered below 21880 and a long trade triggered above 21928. Here’s how the day unfolded:

空头交易回顾

The short trade under 21880 was triggered; however, in hindsight, price never sustained below this level, as no 5-minute candle closed beneath the bearish threshold. The price came close to the 第一利润目标, which would have allowed us to secure partial profits and move the stop-loss to the entry, but it didn’t quite reach the target. The trade ultimately hit the stop and resulted in a loss.

长期贸易回顾

Later, the long trade was triggered with a move above 21928, as outlined in the 贸易指南针. The 首个利润目标为21945 was reached successfully, and as per the approach, the stop-loss for the remaining position was moved to the entry point, which was eventually hit. This resulted in a small profit on the long trade.

总体结果

Today’s trades resulted in one 损失短暂 and one 长期获胜, with a 总体净损失非常小. As per the 贸易指南针 approach, which limits trading to a maximum of one directional trade per compass per day, we are done for the session.

事后诸葛亮反思

In hindsight, today’s price action suggests that it was likely setting up for an 内酒吧. For those unfamiliar, an inside bar is a candle fully contained within the range of the previous candle. Its high is lower than the prior candle’s high, and its low is higher than the prior low. This pattern often signals indecision or a temporary balance between supply and demand.

While the 贸易指南针 is designed to identify key barriers, today’s conditions may have favored 消除障碍 (taking the opposite side of the thresholds) rather than seeking breakout momentum.

最后说明

Thank you for following today’s update. Remember, the disciplined approach of the 贸易指南针 limits us to one trade per direction, ensuring controlled and focused trading. See you on the next 贸易指南针 update!