The NZD/USD fell sharply on Monday, reaching its lowest level since October 2022, following tariff news. However, the pair rebounded after tariffs on Mexico and Canada were delayed by 30 days. The price spiked higher, retraced into a key swing area between 0.5581和0.5592, then bounced to extend even higher.

On Wednesday, the pair briefly broke above another swing area between 0.5684和0.5695, but the breakout was short-lived. This zone has since acted as a stronger ceiling, reinforcing its importance heading into the new trading week.

In recent hours, the price has rotated lower amid renewed talk of potential reciprocal tariffs under Trump, which typically supports a stronger USD. The decline has brought the pair to a cluster of critical technical levels, including the 100-小时移动平均线0.5653, the 200-小时移动平均线0.5644, and the 1月份0.5643的回撤61.8%. This zone now serves as a pivotal barometer for buyers and sellers.

• 如果价格保持在此集群之上, a move back toward the 0.5684-0.5695挥杆面积 is likely, with a breakout potentially targeting January's high at 0.5723.
• 如果价格跌破, it could open the door for a drop toward the 50%回撤至0.5619 and beyond. Move below that level and the door opens for further declines toward 0.5881 in 0.55918

这一系列水平对于决定新西兰元/美元的下一个方向性走势至关重要。