贸易指南针 for Bitcoin Futures – February 4, 2025

比特币期货关键级别和交易策略

At the time of this analysis, 比特币期货交易价为99，750. The market structure presents a 紧缩价值区, reflecting a consolidated trading session.

• Pod（控制点）: 99,995, aligning closely with the 100，000舍入数—a key psychological and liquidity level.
• VWAP: 101,104, also positioned near the POC, reinforcing the tight consolidation.
• 价值区（交易量的68%）: Between 99，000（舍入支持） and 100，500（半圆抵抗）.
• 极差分析: A 缩小1.5%的交易范围, suggesting potential for expansion once price breaks key thresholds.

今日比特币期货看涨前景

📈 看涨上方：101，060

• This level is just above 昨天VWAP的第一个标准差, signaling a breakout potential.

比特币期货看涨者的看涨利润目标：

1. 101,015 – 今天VWAP的第一个标准差上限 (short-term scalp level).
2. 101,965 – 今天VWAP的第二个上限标准差 (intraday target).
3. 102,285 – 临近今天VWAP开放 (stronger bullish extension).
4. 102,660 – 关键流动性水平 for medium-term traders.
5. 105,080 – 潜在的跑步者目标 below the 价值区较两天前高.

今日比特币期货看跌前景

📉 看空下方：98，930

• A potential 假故障陷阱 could occur around this level, requiring cautious stop placement.

比特币期货空头的看跌利润目标：

1. 98,240 – 今天VWAP的第一个较低标准差 (quick initial target).
2. 97,585 – 仅在昨天的VWAP上方 (intraday bearish continuation).
3. 95,615 – 高于昨日价值区高点 (deeper downside move).
4. 94,495 – 延长熊市目标.
5. 91,435 – 昨天VWAP的第二个较低标准差 (capitulation-level drop).

交易执行和风险考虑因素

• 停止： Not specified, as risk tolerance varies among traders.
• 交易风格适应性：
  • Some traders 使用贸易指南针作为确认 alongside their strategy.
  • Others 褪色动作 at key levels instead of following directional bias.
• 获利策略：
  • Taking 筹码从桌面上拿走 at structured levels allows partial profit locking.
  • “一次大动作”的心态可能存在风险, making structured exits crucial.

📚Not Just for Bitcoin Trading - Educational Insights

什么是价值区？为什么重要？

• The 值区 represents 68-70%的交易活动发生在那里.
• It helps traders 确定平衡区, breakout potential, and liquidity pockets.
• 今天的比特币有一个紧缩的价值区域, increasing the likelihood of range expansion.

什么是VWAP以及为什么它很重要？

• 成交量加权平均价格（VWAP） tracks the average price based on both price and volume.
• It acts as a 动态公允价值指标, widely used by institutions.
• 与VWAP的偏差 (1st, 2nd, 3rd standard deviations) help traders 识别超买或超卖状况.

控制点（Pod）-交易员的关键级别

• Pod代表交易量最高的价格 in the session.
• It 经常成为价格的磁石, making it a key reference level for reversals or breakouts.

⚠️ Trade Bitcoin at Your Own Risk

• Markets are dynamic, and 应实时重新评估水平.
• 价格走势、成交量和Delta行为应确认交易条目。
• 交易风险始终由您自行承担，没有人可以承诺您获利，并且您必须考虑到您可能会在加密货币交易中赔钱。

✅ Stay tuned for future 贸易指南针 updates!