澳元兑美元关键阻力位在0.6390,上行突破可能
澳元兑美元技术面澳元兑美元已触及新的日高,达到0.6388 --这一水平与3月18日和4月4日的摆动高点一致。
The AUDUSD has extended to a new session high, reaching 0.6388—a level that aligns with swing highs from 三月18 and 4月4. This area marks a key resistance ceiling. A sustained break above it is needed to strengthen the bullish bias.
Should buyers push through, the next upside target would be the high from 2月21 at 0.6407, followed by the 50%回撤 of the decline from the 2024年10月1日高点至4月低点, which comes in at 0.64278.
That retracement level also aligns closely with the 从12月12日开始走高 at 0.6428, adding to its technical significance as a potential resistance zone.
If the ceiling near 0.6390 holds once again, it could lead to renewed downside pressure as buyers fail to break higher. On the downside, next support comes between 0.6326 and 0.6340. Earlier in the Asian session, the price briefly dipped below that 挥杆区域, but quickly snapped back above it—highlighting its importance as near-term support.
A break below that zone, along with a move beneath the 突破38.2%回撤位0.63065, would shift the focus toward the 100-日移动平均线0.6289 as a key downside target.
It’s worth noting that over the past month or so, the price has 多次突破100日均线上方, only to fail and retreat lower. Each of those upside attempts stalled near the 0.6390水平, reinforcing its role as a stubborn resistance zone and the historical pattern of failed bullish breaks above the 100-day MA.
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