关税对USDCAD有很大的推动影响。如果存在威胁，美元兑加元往往会走高。如果压力消失，价格可能会走低。所谓的“解放日”是4月2日，这引起了市场的关注，美元兑加元也随之走高。

Technically, the USDCAD is showing renewed bullish momentum after bouncing from a key support confluence last week. The pair found buyers near the 100-日移动平均线为1.4269, which also aligns with a key swing area dating back to December. The failed break below this zone resulted in a sharp rebound, keeping the broader range structure intact.

In early North American trading, price action has climbed back above both the 100-和4小时图表上的200条移动平均线, currently at 1.4318 and 1.4344 respectively. Holding above these levels shifts short-term bias in favor of the bulls.

The next upside target lies within the 1.4448-1.4471 resistance area—an upper boundary that has repeatedly capped rallies for over three months. A break above this zone would suggest a potential breakout from the prolonged range and could open the door toward 1.4495 and even 1.4660, if supported by fundamentals like tariff developments.

On the downside, a move back below 1.4318 and especially 1.4269 would negate this bullish tilt and place sellers back in control, with 1.4236 and 1.4168 acting as next supports.

关键技术水平：

• 支撑：1.4318（200 bar MA）、1.4269（波动+100日MA）、1.4236

• 阻力位：1.4401（上周高点）、1.4448-1.4471（关键区间）、1.45399（3月份高点）