GBPUSD 技术分析 - 潮流似乎正在转向
基本概述..在过去的几周里 ， 美元一直处于区间波动之中.上周的强势可能更多地受到季度末资金流动的影响 ， 而不是受到 funda 的影响.
FundamentalOverview
The USD has been overallrangebound in the last couple of weeks. The last week’s strength might havebeen influenced more by quarter-end flows rather than something fundamental asthe economic data didn’t change interest rates expectations.
All else being equal, thedata should continue to support the risk sentiment amid a pickup in growthwithout inflationary pressures, which could be a headwind for the greenback.
The GBP, on the other hand,has been under pressure since the BoE policy decision but overall it’s been more of a strongUS Dollar story. This week the greenback seems to be losing ground as a newmonth started. This weakness might extend further, so it will be interesting tosee how the price action evolves in the next days.
GBPUSDTechnical Analysis – Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, we cansee that GBPUSD eventually bounced from the support at 1.2635. That’s where the buyers stepped inwith a defined risk below the level to position for a rally into the 1.28handle. The sellers will want to see the price breaking below the 1.2635support to get back control and increase the bearish bets into the 1.25 handlenext.
GBPUSD TechnicalAnalysis – 4 hour Timeframe
On the 4 hour chart, we cansee that we have formed a range between the 1.2635 support and the 1.27 resistance.The buyers will want to see the price breaking higher to increase the bullishbets into the 1.28 handle next. The sellers, on the other hand, will likelylean on the resistance to position for a drop back into the support targeting abreak below it.
GBPUSD TechnicalAnalysis – 1 hour Timeframe
On the 1 hour chart, we cansee that we have an interesting zone around the 1.2670 level where the price reactedto several times in the past weeks. This level can act as kind of a barometerfor the sentiment with the price staying above it being more bullish and belowit being more bearish. The red lines define the average daily range for today.
UpcomingCatalysts
Today we get the US ADP, the US Jobless Claims, the US ISM Services PMI andthe FOMC Meeting Minutes. Tomorrow is going to be a US Holiday for IndependenceDay and we will also have the UK General Election. Finally, on Friday, weconclude the week with the US NFP report.
Disclaimer: The views in this article are from the original author and do not represent the views or position of Hawk Insight. The content of the article is for reference, communication and learning only, and does not constitute investment advice. If it involves copyright issues, please contact us for deletion.
