受周末关税消息影响，澳元兑美元昨日暴跌，跌破1月份低点0.61306，达到2020年初以来的最低水平。然而，随着墨西哥获得30天关税减免，两国货币出现反弹，加拿大随后在当天晚些时候也是如此。此次回撤使价格从1月份高点0.6238回落至61.8%的跌幅水平。

今天欧洲时段，该货币对跌至0.6162至0.61779之间的关键支撑区，买家介入。随后价格收复100小时移动平均线，并以其为支撑，并推高。美国时段，买家扩大涨幅至200小时均线0.6241上方，回落至61.8%附近，预示着看涨意图。

需要关注的关键级别：

• 支持： The 0.6238–0.6241 zone now acts as immediate support. A break below could shift focus back to the 100-hour MA at 0.62038.
• 阻力： Friday’s high near 0.6260 is the next upside target. Beyond that, a swing area between 0.6287 and 0.6301 comes into play, followed by the January high at 0.6331.

基本面风险：

• A potential 特朗普总统与中国国家主席习近平的通话 remains a wildcard.
  • 延迟关税 could support AUDUSD upside.
  • 重申关税 as an “opening salvo” could drive renewed selling, with the 100-hour MA as a downside target.

买家目前已经掌控局面，但下一步行动取决于基本面的发展。