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美元兑日元延伸至摇摆区和50%回撤

美元兑日元跌破年内低点和2月低点150.943,加速下跌势头。跌幅扩大至149.39,与可追溯到.的关键摇摆区域的上边界保持一致

USDJPY broke below its 年低点和2月低点150.943, accelerating downside momentum. The decline extended to 149.39, aligning with the 关键挥杆区域的上边界 dating back to mid-August 2024 (149.08 - 149.39). This level also coincides with the 9月至1月上涨趋势回撤50%至149.221, making it a crucial technical support zone. The price 从这个区域反弹 and currently trades around 149.78.

Today's selloff covered 203点, well above the 20-day average of 152点, indicating an oversold move that likely contributed to buyers stepping in early. The key question now is: 什么可以减缓下跌趋势并让卖家有理由犹豫?

复苏的关键阻力水平:

  1. 150.03 – The 200-条形移动平均线(5分钟图表). USDJPY has breached the 100-bar MA intraday (blue line on the chart below) currently at 149.72 today, but remains below the 200 bar MA key level at 150.03. A sustained break above the 200 bar MA on that chart is needed to signal the first small victory for buyers.
  2. 150.17 - 150.25 – A key 挥杆区域 that must be reclaimed to build bullish momentum. See red numbered circles and yellow area on the chart below)
  3. 150.321 – The 最新下跌走势的38.2%回撤, which would further strengthen buyer confidence.

As long as USDJPY remains 在这些抵抗区下方, sellers remain in control The buyers may be more in play (not getting overwhelmed with trend selling). A failure to break back above 150.033 would likely keep downside pressure intact, with 149.39和149.08 as critical support levels.

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