The USDCAD moved higher today, extending to a new 4+ year high of 1.4243, surpassing levels last seen in April 2020. The next key target is 1.4264, the high from April 2020. A break above this level could pave the way for further upside momentum.

为什么多年高点很重要

当一项资产交易处于多年高点时，普遍趋势通常会持续下去，因为：

• 趋势是快速且有方向性的.
• 趋势往往超出预期.

As a result, 卖家必须证明自己有能力重新获得控制权 in order to shift the bias lower.

卖家的关键技术水平

为了将偏见进一步向下倾斜，卖家必须突破这些水平：

1. 初始支持为1.4194: This level, just below 1.4200, acted as a ceiling earlier this week and is now critical short-term support.
2. 100小时移动平均线上升和11月26日高点（~1.4177）: Breaking below these levels would indicate a shift towards bearish momentum.
3. 下一个下行目标为1.4145: A move below this level would strengthen sellers' confidence and increase buyers' discomfort.

总结

• 1.4264以上: Buyers gain further momentum for an extended rally.
• 低于1.4145: Sellers start to wrestle back control and establish a more bearish short-term outlook.

在这些水平被彻底突破之前，买家仍然处于控制地位，尽管卖家需要证明自己的实力来改变趋势。