Earlier, I highlighted a 关键支撑区 in EURUSD, defined by a 关键技术水平的集群:

• 1.04065 – 38.2% retracement of the move up from the February low
• 1.0401 – Swing low from February 19
• 1.0405 – 50% retracement of the EURUSD trading range since the 2022 low

This 支持水平的汇合 created an area where price could pause or reverse. The 日内低点触底1.03998 before staging a modest bounce to 1.0414. While the rebound is minor, 保持在1.0400上方可以为进一步上行提供空间.

关键的向上目标

• 1.04338 – 38.2% retracement of today’s move lower (see 5-minute chart)
• 1.0444 – 50% retracement, reinforcing a potential shift in momentum

If 欧元兑美元未能跌破1.04338上方，这是今日趋势走低的38.2%（见下图5分钟）, sellers will remain in control, signaling that the bounce is weak. The sellers remain in control and the buyers are not winning. However, a 升至1.0444上方将增强买家信心, potentially setting the stage for a stronger recovery.

For now, 1.0400仍然是关键的下行水平—holding above it keeps the door open for further gains, while a break below would confirm continued bearish control.