纳斯达克期货分析-2025年2月19日贸易指南针

纳斯达克日间交易者和摇摆交易者的技术分析

At the time of this analysis, 纳斯达克期货（NQ）交易价为22，187点, moving quite fast as volatility remains high in the first 美国会议15分钟. Currently, 价格尚未激活看涨或看跌模式, as it has 未突破看涨阈值22，195，也未突破看跌阈值22，173.

今天的主要看涨和熊市陷阱

• 看涨于22，195以上 → This is today's 控制点（Pod）, the price level where the most volume has transacted.
• 看空22，173以下 → This is near the 低值区（VAR）为22，178 and the VWAP的第二低标准差.

Since price is currently 徘徊在这些阈值之间, traders should 观察这些水平上方或下方的持续走势 before taking action. 这是一个方向，交易员应该将其与自己的策略和风险管理保持一致。

贸易计划：公牛和熊市的利润目标

看涨情景（高于22，195-今日Pod）

If price sustains above 22,195, long traders may look at the following targets:

1. 22,231 → 当今VWAP的第三标准差 (quick target).
2. 22,258 → 昨天的价值区高（VAH） (significant level).
3. 22,350 → A 半圆数, marking a potential resistance.
4. 22,400 → A 轮数, often acting as a psychological barrier.
5. 22,425.75 → 历史新高, which is acting as a 价格磁铁.
6. 扩展目标 → 22,500 for traders who want to leave a runner.

熊市情景（低于22，173-VWAP的第二低标准差）

If price sustains below 22,173, short traders can target:

1. 22,143 → VWAP 2月16日起 (first profit-taking level).
2. 22,109 → Just above the 2月16日价值区低点（VAR）.
3. 22,036 → VWAP较两天前第三低标准差.
4. 摇摆空头目标 → 22,042, which is near the 2月14日低点.

Swing traders can extend targets even further based on their strategy, potentially holding a 跑步者位置 to a deeper level.

了解关键市场水平

1.价值区高（VAH）和价值区低（VAR）

The 值区 represents the price range where 前一天成交量的70% was traded.

• 价值区高（VAH） → The upper boundary of this range. When price moves above VAH and holds, it indicates 买家掌控一切, pushing price higher.
• 价值区低（VAR） → The lower boundary of this range. If price drops below VAL and holds, it signals 销售压力加大.

2.控制点（Pod）

The POC is the price level where the highest volume traded during a session. It often acts as an important 支撑或阻力位.

• If price is 高于Pod, the market bias leans bullish.
• If price is 低于Pod, the market bias leans bearish.

3. VWAP（成交量加权平均价格）和标准差

The VWAP represents the 成交量加权平均价格, serving as a dynamic support and resistance indicator.

• Traders watch VWAP标准差 to gauge 过度扩张 price movements.
• The 第一、第二和第三标准差 of VWAP highlight areas where price might 趋势恢复或加速.

最终想法-如何使用这个贸易指南针

At this point, 价格尚未触发看涨或看跌模式, as it remains in 中立领土22，195至22，173. Traders should:

• 监控超越这些阈值的决定性举措 before committing.
• 考虑采取相应的头寸，风险自负。
• 在关键目标上使用部分获利回吐并相应管理风险。

This Trade Compass provides 结构化的“地图” for traders, but execution depends on each trader's strategy and risk tolerance.

For further perspectives and updates, visit ForexLive.com.

祝你好运，明智地交易!