The 澳元兑美元今日下跌近0.9%, marking its 2025年最大跌幅 and the steepest drop since 2024年12月18日. The initial move lower stalled at the 2月份交易区间回撤38.2%（0.6285）, where buyers attempted to provide support. However, after a brief bounce, selling pressure intensified following 特朗普总统确认对墨西哥和加拿大征收25%的关税将于3月生效, alongside an 对中国商品加征10%关税.

技术分解：关键级别

Given Australia's economic ties to China, negative developments there often weigh on the 澳大利亚元和新西兰元, leading to sharp declines in both currency pairs today. The continued downside move has now taken AUDUSD toward the 2月区间回撤50%至0.62474. The 迄今为止的最低点为0.62495, just two pips above this key technical level.

Price action has 停滞在0.62474附近, suggesting a 买家和卖家之间的暂时平衡 as the market assesses the next move. A break below this level could 加速下跌势头, targeting:

• 0.62348 – Prior swing low from February 12 and February 10
• 0.62097 – 61.8% retracement of February’s range

值得关注的向上水平

If buyers defend 0.62474, initial upside targets include:

• 0.62743 – A key intraday resistance level
• 0.6285 – The broken 38.2% retracement, which could now act as resistance

澳元兑美元仍面临压力，如果避险情绪持续存在且关键支撑位未能维持，澳元兑美元可能会进一步下跌。