In my Kickstart视频, I highlighted the 1.0432 - 1.0441 zone as key 顶部阻力 that buyers needed to break through to gain control. This area was defined by previous resistance and support levels dating back to early February. A sustained move above this zone would have opened the door for a test of the 100-小时均线, which ultimately stalled the rally in early European trading.

Following the release of 美国新房开工弱于预期, EURUSD moved higher and tested the upper boundary of this swing area. However, sellers defended the level, leading to a rejection and a subsequent move lower over the past two hours.

The decline has now reached a 主要支持区, defined by the 200-小时移动平均线和更广泛交易区间从2022年低点的50%中点均收敛于1.0405. Just below, the 2月份上涨的38.2%回撤位位于1.0397, making this an important decision point.

A 跌破1.0405和1.0397 would shift control further toward the sellers, increasing downside pressure. Conversely, if buyers step in at these levels, it could trigger a 旋转更高, reaffirming the dip-buying strategy.

游戏中的技术水平：

• 支持级别：

  • 200-小时移动平均线&50%中点 → 1.0405
  • 2月低点回撤38.2% → 1.0397

• 抵抗水平：

  • 回转区天花板 → 1.0432 - 1.0441
  • 100-小时均线 → 下一个上行目标

• 关键交易信号：

  • 高于1.0405 & 1.0397 → Buyers may step in, targeting a reversal higher.
  • 低于1.0405 & 1.0397 → Sellers take control, increasing downside momentum.