At 东部时间上午9时45, the 加拿大银行（BoC） will announce its rate decision (see Adam's preview here). The outcome is uncertain, with markets split on whether the central bank will cut rates or hold steady. Before the recent wave of tariffs, the BoC appeared poised to slow its easing cycle. However, the expected drag on growth from those tariffs has reintroduced doubt into the market.

Despite the uncertainty, the 加元走强（美元兑加元走低）, with USDCAD falling to a low of 周一1.38278—its weakest level since November 2024. The pair has since rebounded and now trades near the 100小时移动平均线下跌至1.3915. That level will act as the near-term barometer: staying below keeps sellers in control. A move above could shift bias higher, with the 200-日均线位于心理1.4000水平附近 serving as a key resistance target. A break above that would be more bullish for the pair.

不利的是，本周早些时候的低点1.38278将受到关注。跌破该水平，该货币对开始在更长期的上下波动区域进行更多交易，该区域可以追溯到2022年9月，并增加了熊市偏见。

在上面的视频中，我通过技术层面来讨论关键的速率决定。注意。做好准备，因为交易者决定是否需要突破200天。