特朗普总统昨天表示，加拿大正在“加大力度”。这一点以及关税方面的一些让步帮助加元在此过程中降低了美元兑加元。

Technically, the USDCAD is coming under renewed pressure after breaking below the key support range between 1.4268和1.4471—a zone that had confined most of the price action going back to mid-December. This breakdown signals growing bearish momentum and shifts the focus to the next key support zones. The question now is: 卖家能继续施压吗？

Adding to the bearish technical bias, the pair has also dipped below the 2024年9月低点反弹38.2%, which comes in at 1.42697. Price is also flirting with the 100-日移动平均线为1.4255, currently trading above and below the level, suggesting an ongoing battle for directional control. A firm break below both levels would confirm the shift in bias toward the downside.

That said, some dip buyers have stepped in near the 3月6日低点1.42386, offering temporary support. If that level gives way, sellers may quickly target the 2月低点在1.4149至1.4166之间, followed by the 50.0%回撤和1.4108附近的摆动区域.

On the topside, the broken range support now turns into resistance. Any rebound would need to contend with the 200-4小时图上的条形移动平均线为1.4319 and the 100-bar MA为1.4357 to shift the tone back toward neutral.

📌 需要观看的关键关卡
阻力：

• 1.4268-1.4471（突破范围）

• 1.4319（200巴MA，4 H）

• 1.4357（100巴MA，4H）

支持：

• 1.42386（3月6日低点）

• 1.4149-1.4166（2月低点）

• 1.4108（2024年9月走势的50.0%回撤）

For now, 卖家持有短期优势, but whether that momentum extends or stalls will depend on how price reacts at the 1.4230 support area.