贸易指南针 for January 20, 2025: Crude Oil Futures (CL) Analysis

Crude oil futures (CL) are currently trading at 77.14美元, with the following thresholds:

• 看涨上方: 77.54美元 – Signaling upside momentum if crossed.
• 看空下方: 76.97美元 – Indicating a bearish stage if breached.

为什么这些边界很重要

• 看涨77.54美元上方:

  • This price is above 今天的VWAP, the 价值区高, 周五的Pod, and 周四价值区低点. Clearing this level suggests a strong bullish move supported by institutional and algorithmic interest.

• 看空至76.97美元下方:

  • Below this level, the price drops under the 价值区今日低点, as well as the 过去三个交易日的价值区跌幅. It also crosses below the 周五和周四VWAP的第二个较低标准差, signaling a deeper bearish stage.

今日原油期货看涨目标

1. 77.75美元

   • Just below 周五价值区高点, offering a quick profit target.

2. 78.00美元

   • Positioned under 周四的VWAP, a critical technical level.

3. 78.49美元

   • Just below the semi-round number 78.50美元 and the 1月16日价值区高点.

4. 78.68美元

   • Aligned with the 1月15日起的Pod, marking significant institutional activity.

5. 79.34美元

   • Situated just below the 1月15日价值区高, providing an aspirational bullish target.

今日原油期货看跌目标

1. 76.73美元

   • Positioned above the 1月14日VWAP, a key bearish milestone.

2. 76.20美元

   • Just above the 1月14日的Pod, offering a critical support break.

3. 75.91美元

   • Above the 1月10日价值区高点, marking a bearish continuation target.

4. 75.26美元

   • Near the 1月10日的Pod, offering another key bearish profit level.

5. 74.51美元

   • Located above the 1月10日值区低点, serving as a longer-term bearish target.

今日原油期货交易要点

1.管理舍入数字

• Expect price action to fluctuate around round numbers like 77.00美元, as market makers often use these levels to target liquidity. Stops placed too tightly near round numbers can be vulnerable to being triggered prematurely.

2.部分获利回吐

• A core principle of the 贸易指南针 is to take 部分利润 at key levels. Locking in smaller gains over time statistically outperforms waiting for large moves that occur less frequently.

3.停止损失调整

• Once your first profit target is hit, 将您的停止损失移至入口点. This applies to both long and short positions, protecting your capital while allowing the trade to run further.

4.平衡的办法

• The simplicity and effectiveness of the 贸易指南针 lie in its neutrality. It starts as neither bullish nor bearish, adapting based on whether the price crosses above or below key thresholds. These levels are derived from technical maps used by institutional firms and trading algorithms, giving them greater significance in guiding price movements.

Summary for Crude Oil Futures Today, According to Our 贸易指南针

• 看涨上方: 77.54美元 – Targeting 77.75美元, 78.00美元, 78.49美元, 78.68美元, and 79.34美元.
• 看空下方: 76.97美元 – Targeting 76.73美元, 76.20美元, 75.91美元, 75.26美元, and 74.51美元.
• 达到第一个目标后将止盈调整至盈亏平衡，并沿途获利。

结论

Crude oil futures are at a pivotal point, with key thresholds marking the start of a bullish or bearish stage. Traders should use this 原油期货分析 as a guide to navigate today’s market, balancing risk and reward through partial profit-taking and dynamic trade management.

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