GBPUSD技术分析：卖家重新获得控制权

The GBPUSD started the week in a choppy trading range, with buyers repeatedly testing the 200-4小时图表上的条形移动平均线（MA）. Over the first four days (and last Friday), the price briefly moved above this MA multiple times, but each attempt quickly failed. On Thursday, buyers gave up, momentum shifted, and sellers took control.

Today, selling pressure continued, driven by weaker UK data, pushing the price lower and to the upper boundary of a key swing area between 1.2596和1.2614. A modest bounce during the early US session stalled at resistance within another swing area between 1.2659和1.2670, just below the 100-4小时图上的条形移动平均线 at 1.2674.

需要关注的关键技术水平

• 支持（缺点）:

  • 1.2596-1.2614: Swing area providing initial support.
  • 低于1.2596: Opens the door for further downside, with the next target at the 11月低点1.2486.

• 阻力（向上）:

  • 1.2659-1.2674: Immediate resistance zone, including the 100-4小时图表上的条MA.
  • 1.2674以上: Buyers would face additional hurdles, including:
    • 100-小时MA为1.2726
    • 200-小时MA为1.2726
    • 200-4小时图上的均线为1.2753
    • 11月跌幅回撤50%至1.2767

下周展望

• 卖家掌控: As long as the price remains below 1.2674, sellers maintain the upper hand.
• 跌破1.2596: Strengthens bearish momentum, with traders eyeing the 1.2486 November low.
• 突破1.2674: Signals potential bullish momentum, but buyers need to overcome multiple technical barriers to establish control.

交易员应监控价格如何与这些波动区和关键移动平均线相互作用，以确定下一个方向偏差。