贸易指南针: DAX Futures Analysis and Price Prediction

现价概览
DAX futures are trading at 21,377, positioned just above critical levels that dictate today’s price action:

• 控制点（Pod）： The day's primary volume concentration.
• VWAP（成交量加权平均价格）： Reflects market equilibrium.
• 低值区（VAR）： The lower boundary of the fair value range.

The 价值区高（VAH） stands at 21,444, with the VWAP的第二上限标准差 located at 21,475. These levels are key to predicting future price movements for the DAX.

DAX期货熊市价格预测

This analysis prioritizes a 短期偏差, offering high-reward opportunities as the DAX shows relative weakness.

空头头寸的关键入门级别

1. 21,397: Just below the 21，400舍入数, a psychological pivot.
2. 21,417: Below the VWAP的第一上限标准差, ideal for additional entries.
3. 21,430: A potential third entry near 大容量节点（HVN）, offering better trade positioning.
4. 21,444: If price revisits the VAH, this provides a strong confirmation level for shorts.

Some readers may encounter this TradeCompass analysis at a time when the price is different from the planned entries, and they might still choose to take the short position based on their assessment of the reward-to-risk ratio. For instance, if the price is at 21,376 or even 21,350, and they notice that the price has moved below the 价值区最低21，362, which is also below the POC and the VWAP, they could interpret this as a signal that bears are taking control. Despite not entering at the ideal level, they may find the trade worthwhile if the potential stop-loss, initial profit target, and extended targets still justify the setup.

以此为指导，但始终由您自行承担风险和自由裁量权进行交易

短期目标水平

1. 21,278: Above the 开放的VWAP, an early profit-taking zone.
2. 21,146: Just above yesterday’s VAH, a significant support target.
3. 21,051: Above yesterday’s Val, aligning with further bearish momentum.
4. 20,900-19,900: Deep swing targets for multi-day traders, maximizing the potential of a sustained decline.

风险管理：

• Use 21,485 (just above the breakout threshold) as a 止损.
• Adjust stops to breakeven or secure profits after achieving the initial target at 21,278.

DAX期货看涨价格预测

看涨入场触发器

A 突破21，485点上方 signals bullish momentum, opening the path toward higher price levels.

看涨目标水平

1. 21,520: The first significant resistance post-breakout.
2. 21,594: A secondary level near high-volume areas.
3. 21，700 +: A potential stretch target for traders riding sustained upward momentum.

停止损失指导：

• Below 21，444（VAH） to manage risk if momentum reverses.

DAX期货分析：支撑因素

1. 相对弱点： The DAX shows signs of lagging performance, previously buoyed by the Nasdaq and stocks like Netflix. This rally could fade, enhancing the bearish case.
2. 风险回报优势： Short setups currently offer a more attractive risk-reward ratio, especially for swing traders.
3. 关键价格水平为21，355： If the price sustains below Pod、VWAP和VAR, it confirms bearish dominance.

FDAX的人工智能价格预测

概述:

FDAX（德国DAX期货）的人工智能分析揭示了熊市前景。销售压力仍然占主导地位，Delta和累积Delta等关键指标表明持续下跌势头。买家在当前水平上表现出的兴趣有限，这表明除非出现强烈的看涨信号，否则买家将进一步下跌。

关键见解:

1. 持续的销售压力:

   • Delta负值占主导地位，反映了整个交易日卖家活动强劲。
   • 累积Delta稳步下跌，强化了熊市情绪。

2. 成交量动态:

   • 销售量始终超过购买量，尤其是在活动加剧的时期。
   • 在激烈的抛售阶段观察到更大的订单规模，凸显了熊市趋势的激进性。

3. 买家弱点:

   • 买入量疲软表明在这些价格水平下积累的兴趣有限。
   • 即使在销售暂停期间，买家也未能利用并扭转势头。

预测评分: -6（熊市）

人工智能预测亮点:

• 该预测反映了由于持续的销售压力、累积Delta下降和买家参与度疲软而产生的强烈熊市情绪。
• 虽然观察到抛售略有停顿，但缺乏成交量或达美航空的支持来预示有意义的逆转。

DAX交易的执行策略

• 利比亚短期偏见！
• 部分获利： Secure gains progressively at outlined targets to mitigate risk.
• 停止调整： Shift stops to breakeven or higher after hitting early targets for added security.
• 摇摆贸易潜力： Hold positions beyond intraday timeframes to capitalize on larger moves.

虽然我们的主要目标是捕捉更大的举措，但我们认识到有效管理风险的重要性。为了实现这一目标，我们确定了具体的价格水平，并详细说明了获得初始部分利润的理由。这种方法使我们能够尽早获得收益，减少风险并确保我们在实现更大目标时保持纪律。通过确定这些关键层面，我们创建了一条结构化的路径来减轻潜在损失，同时最大限度地利用重大举措的机会。

Thank you for following along, and we invite you to visit us daily for more insightful 贸易指南针 ideas and strategies. Always do your own research, trade the DAX at your risk only, and visit ForexLive.com for additional views.