Traders cut their bets on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next year, expecting a 100 basis point cut by September, and raised their bets on the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 30 basis points in December.

Forex 7x24

2024-11-06 16:12:34

2.37W

Traders have cut their bets on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next year, predicting a 100 basis point rate cut by September next year;

Raised its bet on the ECB to cut interest rates, with a 30 basis point rate cut expected in December.

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NewFlash

2024-11-19
It was learned on the 19th local time that Japan's Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries said on the same day that the price of new rice in Japan hit a record high in October. The average price of all brands increased more than 1.5 times compared with the same period last year, reaching 23820 yen per 60 kilograms (approximately RMB 1116).), equivalent to approximately RMB 19 yuan/kilogram. This figure also exceeded last month's 22700 yen per 60 kilograms, setting a new record since comparable data became available in 2006. (CCTV News)
16:10
China Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian responded that climate change is a common challenge facing all mankind, and climate finance is a key support for taking climate action and achieving emission reduction and adaptation goals. Funding shortage is one of the challenges faced by developing countries in implementing nationally determined contributions. Regarding the issue of who will contribute, the Paris Agreement has clearly stipulated that developed countries have the obligation to provide financial support to developing countries, and other countries can contribute voluntarily.
16:09
The US dollar index is now at 106.16, down-0.04% within the day. (By updating the app in time, you can get the sentiment index updated every ten minutes in real time on the Jiasheng topic)
12:12
The onshore RMB against the U.S. dollar (CNY) closed at 7.2315 yuan at 03:00 Beijing time, down 27 points from last Friday's night close. The transaction volume was US$44.064 billion.
04:11
2024-11-15
On the 14th local time, Israeli Energy Minister Eli Cohen said that a ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel was close to being reached. Israeli media reported that Lebanon may respond to the ceasefire proposal within the next 24 hours.
08:12
Europe's STOXX 600 index closed up 1.08% at 507.03 points, off its lowest closing level since August 12. The Eurozone STOXX 50 index closed up 1.97% at 4,833.53 points, off its lowest closing level since September 6. The FTSE Pan-European Outstanding 300 Index closed up 1.04% at 2011.81 points.
04:07
WTI December crude oil futures closed up US$0.27, or more than 0.39%, at US$68.70/barrel. Brent January crude oil futures closed up US$0.28, or 0.39%, at US$72.56/barrel. NYMEX December natural gas futures closed down about 6.64% at US$2.7850/million British hot units. NYMEX December gasoline futures closed at US$1.9817/gallon, and NYMEX December heating oil futures closed at US$2.2123/gallon.
04:06
The equipment utilization rate of EIA refineries in the United States changed by 0.9% in the week of November 8, compared with the expected 0.7%, and the previous value was 1.4%.
00:12
2024-11-14
EUR/USD fell below 1.05 for the first time since October 2023.
20:12
The latest draft plan shows that Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's government plans to issue a cash subsidy of 30,000 yen (US$192) to low-income families to help them cope with high prices, and the Japanese government is fleshing out the details of its upcoming economic stimulus plan. In addition to the 30,000 yen subsidy, the Japanese government also plans to distribute an additional 20,000 yen per child to low-income families. The Japanese government also plans to re-implement subsidies for electricity and natural gas costs from January to March.
20:12
On the evening of November 13, local time, Ukraine Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Taishi posted an article on his official social media platform. Media reports said that Ukraine would develop nuclear weapons responded that Ukraine is committed to complying with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Ukraine does not possess nuclear weapons, has not developed nuclear weapons, and has no intention to possess nuclear weapons. He said that Ukraine accepts supervision by the International Atomic Energy Agency and excludes the use of nuclear materials for military purposes. (CCTV News)
16:14
Announcement on quantitative private placement of Pansong Assets: Founder Zhang Xiao has hired American lawyers to safeguard his legitimate rights, interests and reputation through professional legal means. The statement pointed out: The period covered by this false accusation was before the establishment of Pansong Assets, and the object of the prosecution did not include any corporate entity that Mr. Zhang Xiao worked for or founded. Zhang Xiao was previously accused by a U.S. hedge fund of stealing trading strategy codes. (Information Hall)
16:13
South Korean Finance Minister: South Korea will take measures to stabilize foreign exchange and financial markets if necessary.
08:11
On November 13, local time, according to Colombia Broadcasting Corporation (CBS) prediction, the Republican Party of the United States won control of the House of Representatives, gaining at least 218 seats. (CCTV)
04:12
The Colombia peso fell below 4500 pesos against the US dollar, hitting an 18-month low, leading the decline among emerging market currencies.
00:13
2024-11-13
Russia's Energy Ministry wants to lift the ban on gasoline exports. (TASS News Agency)
20:13
Villeroy, Governing Council of the European Central Bank and President of the Bank of France: Inflation in France will remain moderate. The French economy has shown potential resilience.
16:12
India's NIFTY index fell 1% to 23,643.80 points.
16:12
The US dollar index is now at 105.99, up 0.07% during the day. (By updating the app in time, you can get the sentiment index updated every ten minutes in real time on the Jiasheng topic)
12:13
Vietnam's Parliament has set a budget deficit target for 2025 at 3.8% of GDP.
12:13
Traders are ramping up bets on further declines in the U.S. Treasury market, predicting that the policies Trump has promised to implement will reignite inflation and keep U.S. interest rates high. Data released on Tuesday showed that open interest in two-year note contracts rose for the fourth consecutive trading day. This suggests traders were building bearish positions after the election and before October inflation data was released on Wednesday. The expansion of short bets came as U.S. debt was sold off, with yields rising more than 10 basis points across the board on Tuesday. A measure of Treasury returns is just 1.4% short of wiping out year-to-date gains.
08:10
Kazaks, ECB Commissioner: US tariffs (advocated by President-elect Trump) will be bad for Europe. Tariffs advocated by Trump could push up inflation in the euro zone. The basic assumption is that the ECB will gradually cut policy rates. Interest rates depend on changes in the economic situation.
04:12
On November 12, local time, it was learned that U.S. President-elect Trump issued a statement announcing the appointment of Representative Mike Waltz as U.S. national security adviser. (CCTV News)
04:12
On the 11th local time, the Ivor Institute for Economics in Germany released a report saying that since the 2009 financial crisis, the number of companies reporting a lack of orders has been increasing. Germany's Iver Institute for Economics pointed out that the German economy is currently being hit due to the company's lack of orders. In October, 41.5% of companies reported a lack of orders, compared with 39.4% in July. The head of the institute's survey believes that a lack of orders continues to hinder German economic development, and almost no industry is immune. In manufacturing, almost one in two companies reports a lack of orders. (CCTV Finance)
00:12