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比特币 ( BTC ) 价格跌破 60, 000 美元 - Altcoin 季节的时间

The Altcoin Season is anticipated to have begun, given Bitcoin's price drop this week. But has it really started?

  • Bitcoin dominance fell below the uptrend, hovering around 54.70% as the price fell below $60,000.
  • Despite this, the market is witnessing an active Bitcoin season owing to the altcoins noting corrections.
  • Less than eight tokens have noted gains in the last three months, and only 13 have outperformed BTC.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) Price Slips Below $60,000 – Time for Altcoin Season 

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has declined considerably over the past few days, even losing a critical support level.

This seems to have triggered investors’ hopes of the altcoin season beginning, but the truth appears to be rather different.

Bitcoin Dominance Slips

Bitcoin’s price is hovering around $58,000 at the time of writing after losing the psychological support level of $60,000 this week. This resulted in Bitcoin’s dominance (BTC.D) also falling considerably.

BTC dominance was observing a macro uptrend that had been unbroken since the beginning of the year. However, the end of June and the beginning of July have not been kind to the crypto market, resulting in BTC.D slipping below the uptrend line. Currently, this dominance is at 54.70%.

Bitcoin dominance.
Bitcoin Dominance. Source:TradingView

This led to many believing that the altcoin season could have begun. However, as Bitcoin fell, so did most of the altcoins in the market. Many, such as Arbitrum (ARB), even noted a new all-time low.

Observing the performance of the top 50 non-stablecoin altcoins, we can see that only seven tokens noted gains. In all, about 13 tokens managed to outperform BTC, of which five noted losses.

Generally, for the altcoin season to begin, at least 75% of these 50 tokens, i.e., 38 altcoins, must perform better than Bitcoin. Since that is far from the case, it can be said that the market still has a while before it observes the beginning of the altcoin season.

Read More: 12 Best Altcoin Exchanges for Crypto Trading in July 2024

Top 50 Altcoin's performance.
Top 50 Altcoin’s Performance. Source: BlockChain Center

How Far Away Is Altcoin Season?

The Altcoin Season index shows that owing to the market-wide losses, Bitcoin season is currently active. The index ranges from 0 to 100, with values below 25 signalling Bitcoin Season, and at the moment, it is at 24.

Read More: Which Are the Best Altcoins To Invest in July 2024?

Altcoin Season Index.
Altcoin Season Index. Source: BlockChain Center

When this value is above 75, the Altcoin Season is considered active, which could take a few months. Last time, it took the market about three months to shift from BTC to Altcoin season. If the same interval is considered this time, one can expect the latter to begin by early October.

Disclaimer: The views in this article are from the original author and do not represent the views or position of Hawk Insight. The content of the article is for reference, communication and learning only, and does not constitute investment advice. If it involves copyright issues, please contact us for deletion.