Hong Kong stocks are "facing new difficulties"?Maybe it's because you can't predict the winning rate.

In Hong Kong stocks entering new markets, the prediction and allocation mechanism of the winning rate has always been the core challenge faced by investors.Although the winning rate of new Hong Kong stocks is generally higher than that of the A-share market (for example, 2024 data shows that the first-hand winning rate of Hong Kong stocks can reach an average of 10%, while that of A-shares is only 0.04%), its allocation rules are affected by multiple dynamic factors, including the public offering ratio, overpurchase multiples, callback mechanism and subjective allocation preferences of bookrunners.

This also means that if you don't plan in advance, investors may still experience a situation of "rolling over in the novice field".

What should ordinary investors do?You may wish to start with [Predicting Winning Rate].

The first thing everyone needs to know is that the core of the Hong Kong stock and new share allocation mechanism is to balance the interests of institutions and retail investors.

Public offerings usually account for 10% of the initial issuance size, but if retail investors are enthusiastic about subscription (such as the overpurchase multiple exceeds 15 times), the proportion can be increased to a maximum of 50% through a callback mechanism.

This mechanism directly affects the distribution structure of Group A and B: Group A (subscription amount less than HK$5 million) and Group B (more than HK$5 million) allocate lots in proportion, while the distribution strategies of Group A (the last batch of Group A) and Group B (the first batch of Group B) often vary depending on the bookkeeper and may be biased towards "one household, one signature" for small subscribers.

For example, in the case of JS Global Life, the public offering portion did not trigger a callback due to low subscription multiples, and the first-hand winning rate was 100%; while popular stocks such as Alibaba had extremely high oversubscription multiples, the winning rate dropped sharply.This dynamic change requires investors to track market data in real time and predict distribution trends, which is obviously difficult to cope with traditional manual analysis.InvalidParameterValue

Secondly, the choice of new bids is also very important and requires investors to accurately weigh risks and returns.For example, in 2024, the first-day break rate of new shares in Hong Kong stocks will be as high as 49%. Excessive winnings may lead to inefficient occupation of funds or even losses.In this context, Wealth Broker's intelligent new products provide investors with a systematic solution by integrating professional investment research capabilities and financial technology tools.

Wealth Broker's core advantage in developing new products is that it transforms complex market variables into actionable strategies.Its professional investment research team built a multi-dimensional prediction model based on historical data and real-time market dynamics.For example, by analyzing the relationship between overpurchase multiple and callback threshold, and combining AI algorithms to simulate the winning probability under different allocation scenarios, users can be helped optimize the number of purchase lots and account configuration.

In addition, the product integrates AI information analysis functions, which can analyze the fundamentals of new shares (such as financial data, industry prospects) and market sentiment (such as social media discussion popularity) in real time, and select targets with lower risk of breaking for investors.Taking the fourth quarter of 2024 as an example, Wealth Broker successfully warned of the risk of breaking of many highly valued pharmaceutical stocks, helping users avoid potential losses.InvalidParameterValue

In terms of compliance and fund management, Wealth Broker relies on the dual regulatory qualifications of Australia ASIC and New Zealand FSPR to ensure that client assets are independently managed by third-party banks and transactions are transparent and traceable.It adopts an "automatic sell" mechanism for new products, and executes transactions according to predetermined strategies on the first day of listing of new shares to avoid loss of earnings caused by artificial delays or emotional fluctuations.

In addition, in response to the common capital occupation problem in Hong Kong stocks, Wealth Broker provides leveraged financing services to improve the winning rate while optimizing the efficiency of capital use.InvalidParameterValue

Wealth Broker is a licensed and compliant global investment platform established in 2017 and headquartered in Singapore. It holds Australia ASIC and New Zealand FSPR licenses. It is regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and SIPC to ensure transaction security and compliance.The platform supports investment in multiple categories of assets such as Hong Kong stocks, U.S. stocks, ETFs, new share subscriptions, and options. The funds are managed by third-party banks and provide AI intelligent investment, low-cost transactions, and round-the-clock customer service support.There is no need to go to Hong Kong and open an account online in 10 minutes, helping investors easily enter the global market, making it safe, compliant, convenient and efficient.

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