The USDCHF is showing signs of bullish momentum after a series of key technical tests and recoveries throughout the week. After bottoming at 月曜日の 0.87575, the pair found support at critical levels on successive days. Tuesday’s low was set at 0.8772, right at the lower boundary of a swing area, while Wednesday’s decline stalled at the 0.8794 — 0.8799 swing zone. This steady pattern of higher lows laid the foundation for a move higher, and today’s price action is confirming that shift.

Yesterday, the 200-1 時間移動平均 （ 現在 0.88363 の緑線 ） acted as resistance, capping the upside move. However, today, the price successfully この重要な移動平均を上回った, indicating growing bullish sentiment. More importantly, the pair found support at the 200-1 日移動平均 （ 0.8815 ） earlier in the session today, reinforcing its role as a significant technical floor. With buyers now establishing control, the next upside hurdle is the 0.88637 で 38.2% フィボナッチリトレースメントレベル, which marks a key checkpoint in reversing the most recent downtrend that began from the 2 月 28 日最高.

If buyers can sustain momentum above 0.88637, the next major target is the 0.88965 で 50% のリトレース, a key midpoint that could determine whether the current move has legs for further gains. A break above this level would signal a more meaningful shift in sentiment, potentially leading to a stronger upside continuation.

Looking forward, the 200-時間移動平均 （ 0.88363 ） now shifts from resistance to key short term support. As long as the price remains above this level, the bullish case remains intact. If buyers can maintain control and push through 0.88637, the upside potential toward 0.88965 strengthens. Conversely, a move back below the 200-時間 MA would indicate renewed selling pressure, shifting focus back to 0.8815 (200 day MA) and possibly lower levels.

With this week’s low at 0.87575, the longer-term picture still favors sellers, but today’s breakout suggests buyers are trying to shift the narrative. Keeping an eye on whether 0.88637 breaks or holds will be key in determining the next directional move for USDCHF.