The GBPUSD has been in a steady uptrend since bottoming at 1.20987 on 1 月 13 日, a low that aligned closely with support levels from 2024 年 9 月 · 10 月 (see red circle on the daily chart). Since then, the pair has continued to step higher, carving out a series of higher lows and higher highs.

In 2 月, price action found support at a swing area between 1.22986 と 1.2335, reinforcing bullish intent. That momentum carried into 3 月, with the pair moving back above the 200-日移動平均, currently at 1.28028, and into a key swing zone that extends up to 1.28612. Notably, dips over the past two days have 上部スイングエリアのすぐ前に立ち往生しました, signaling strong underlying support.

The pair is now trading at new session highs, reaching 1.2989, just shy of the 3 月の高値 1.30139, which also marks the 今年最高のレベルです. A break above that level would likely spark further bullish momentum.

Zooming into the hourly chart, early-day price action saw a bounce in GBPUSD following the トランプ関税ニュース, which triggered a wave of buying. The initial move higher tested the 100-時間移動平均 near 1.2922 (blue line on the chart), where sellers initially leaned in. However, the downside was limited, and once the price broke above the 100-時間 MA, bullish momentum carried it through the 200-時間 MA as well.

That initial breakout, though, was short-lived, as the price chopped back and forth. The encouraging sign for buyers came when the プルバックは 100 時間 MA で再びサポートを見つけました, reinforcing its importance. That successful retest gave bulls the green light to resume the move higher, lifting the pair toward the 1.3000 心理レベル.

The pair is now trading near key resistance at 1.30139, the 3 月のハイ and the 今年最高のレベルです. A sustained break above that level would strengthen the bullish bias and open the door for further upside.

On the flip side, 1.30139 を上回る失敗 would dent short-term bullish momentum. Still, it would take a drop back 1.2949 の 200 時間 MA を下回っています。 and especially the 100-時 MA 1.2922 to shift the bias more definitively in favor of sellers.