TradeCompass for Nasdaq Futures – January 23, 2025

NQ 分析時の現在の価格 ： 21,894
The TradeCompass guides our bullish and bearish thresholds and outlines profit-taking targets to help you navigate the Nasdaq Futures market effectively. Here's the breakdown:

強気シナリオ

• 上記の強気： 21,928
• ロングポジションの利益目標 ：
  1. 21,945 – Aligns with the current Value Area High (VAH). Move your stop to the entry point here.
  2. 21,965 – Just below today's VWAP.
  3. 21,988.5 – Another quick target near resistance.
  4. 22,017 – Slightly below yesterday's POC, a critical area to assess strength.
  5. 22,054 – A key level to monitor for momentum.
  6. 22,073 – Positioned just under yesterday's VAH.
  7. 22,120 – A higher extension target.
  8. 22,184 – Final extended target for bullish moves.

弱気シナリオ

• Bearish Below: 21,800

• ショートポジションの利益目標 ：

  1. 21,862 – Positioned above the second lower standard deviation of yesterday's VWAP and near the current VAL.
  2. 21,852 – A follow-up target for quick profit-taking.
  3. 21,817.5 – Another key level indicating a deeper move.
  4. 21,780 – Near today's third lower standard deviation and above January 20th’s VAH.
  5. 21,731.5 – A more distant target representing a significant price move.
  6. 21,673 – Just above January 21st's VWAP.
  7. 21,634.5 – The ultimate target at January 21st’s VAL.

ボリュームプロファイルと VWAP で取引する利点

Nasdaq 先物取引戦略でボリュームプロファイルと VWAP を使用すると、多くの利点があります。

1. 価格予測の強化 ：
   Volume Profile identifies key price levels where significant trading activity occurred, highlighting zones of support and resistance. VWAP helps gauge the average price weighted by volume, offering insights into market sentiment for Nasdaq futures today.

2. 市場コンテキスト：
   These tools help distinguish between trending and consolidating markets, enabling traders to adapt their strategy effectively.

3. 入口と出口のキーレベル ：
   By analyzing the interaction of price with VWAP and Value Area levels (such as VAH and VAL), traders can find high-probability entry and exit points for both bullish and bearish trades.

4. リスク管理 ：
   Volume Profile highlights areas of strong support or resistance, while VWAP bands offer natural zones for placing stop-loss orders. This ensures disciplined risk control in volatile Nasdaq price movements.

5. 逆転とトレンドの特定 ：
   VWAP and its deviations dynamically adjust based on trading activity, helping traders spot early signs of reversals or trend continuations in Nasdaq price prediction.

6. タイムフレーム間のスケーラビリティ ：
   Both tools are effective for intraday trading as well as longer-term strategies, making them versatile for Nasdaq futures analysis.

キーノート

1. 停止管理：
   For both long and short trades, move your stop-loss to the entry point after hitting the first profit target to minimize risk.

2. 部分的利益取出 ：
   Ensure you take profits progressively at each target to secure gains and reduce exposure.

3. TradeCompass as a Guide:
   Use these levels as an orientation to plan your trades. Adjust based on market behavior at key levels and current stats.

免責事項

This is not financial advice. Always trade with caution and proper risk management. Visit ForexLive.com for additional insights and updates.

ありがとう、賢明な取引！

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Nasdaq Futures TradeCompass Update (January 23)

Today’s TradeCompass highlighted key thresholds for Nasdaq Futures, with a short trade triggered below 21880 and a long trade triggered above 21928. Here’s how the day unfolded:

ショートトレード · リキャップ

The short trade under 21880 was triggered; however, in hindsight, price never sustained below this level, as no 5-minute candle closed beneath the bearish threshold. The price came close to the 最初の利益目標, which would have allowed us to secure partial profits and move the stop-loss to the entry, but it didn’t quite reach the target. The trade ultimately hit the stop and resulted in a loss.

ロングトレード · リキャップ

Later, the long trade was triggered with a move above 21928, as outlined in the TradeCompass. The 最初の利益目標 21945 was reached successfully, and as per the approach, the stop-loss for the remaining position was moved to the entry point, which was eventually hit. This resulted in a small profit on the long trade.

全体的な成果

Today’s trades resulted in one ショート損失 and one 長い勝利, with a 全体的に非常に小さな純損失. As per the TradeCompass approach, which limits trading to a maximum of one directional trade per compass per day, we are done for the session.

後見反射

In hindsight, today’s price action suggests that it was likely setting up for an バー内. For those unfamiliar, an inside bar is a candle fully contained within the range of the previous candle. Its high is lower than the prior candle’s high, and its low is higher than the prior low. This pattern often signals indecision or a temporary balance between supply and demand.

While the TradeCompass is designed to identify key barriers, today’s conditions may have favored 障壁を薄す (taking the opposite side of the thresholds) rather than seeking breakout momentum.

最終メモ

Thank you for following today’s update. Remember, the disciplined approach of the TradeCompass limits us to one trade per direction, ensuring controlled and focused trading. See you on the next TradeCompass update!