The AUDUSD has extended to a new session high, reaching 0.6388—a level that aligns with swing highs from 3 月 18 日 and 4 月 4 日. This area marks a key resistance ceiling. A sustained break above it is needed to strengthen the bullish bias.

Should buyers push through, the next upside target would be the high from 2 月 21 日 at 0.6407, followed by the 50% リトレースメント of the decline from the 2024 年 10 月 1 日の高値から 4 月の安値まで, which comes in at 0.64278.

That retracement level also aligns closely with the 12 月 12 日からスイングハイ at 0.6428, adding to its technical significance as a potential resistance zone.

If the ceiling near 0.6390 holds once again, it could lead to renewed downside pressure as buyers fail to break higher. On the downside, next support comes between 0.6326 and 0.6340. Earlier in the Asian session, the price briefly dipped below that スイングエリア, but quickly snapped back above it—highlighting its importance as near-term support.

A break below that zone, along with a move beneath the 0.63065 で 38.2% のリトレースレベルを壊しました, would shift the focus toward the 100-1 日移動平均 0.6289 as a key downside target.

It’s worth noting that over the past month or so, the price has 100 日移動平均を繰り返し破りました, only to fail and retreat lower. Each of those upside attempts stalled near the 0.6390 レベル, reinforcing its role as a stubborn resistance zone and the historical pattern of failed bullish breaks above the 100-day MA.