The EURUSD fell after comments from Trump (and the U.S.), suggesting Ukraine—and by extension, the EU—may have to fend for themselves if peace is not reached through compromise rather than victory. That did not sit well with Zelenskiy who see Russia as the aggressor and wants guaranteed security from the US. Trump does not want to guarantee that or spend for it, and also feels the US has been disrespected.

From a technical standpoint, the decline pushed the pair back 1.0406 のキーサポートを下回る, a critical area that includes:

• The 38.2% リトレース of the February low-to-high move.
• Last week's スイングロー.
• The 2022 年以降の幅広範囲の 50% のリトレース.

The bearish momentum continued, breaking below the 1.0369 と 1.0381 の間の下振幅領域 and the 1.03689 で 50% のリトレースレベル.

注目すべきキーレベル

• 抵抗： Immediate selling pressure could build near 1.03814, while a more conservative risk level sits at 1.0406.
• サポート： On the downside, the next key target is the 1.0331 で 61.8% のリトレース.

これらのレベルを下回る持続的な動きは、さらなる下振の扉を開く可能性があります。