The AUDUSD moved higher yesterday as the USD weakened, bringing the pair within 5 ピップ of the 38.2% のリトレースレベル from the September 2024 high. Just above that, the 100 日移動平均 （ MA ） の下落 also acted as resistance. Sellers leaned into these levels, leading to a technical rotation lower.

As the session progressed, 米国株式市場は圧力が高まる, shifting the market's focus to リスクオフ感情. The NASDAQ is on pace for its course day since January 6, while the Dow 30 is on pace for its worst trading day since October 21.

The AUDUSD, which is sensitive to stock market declines and concerns over slower growth, became vulnerable to further downside pressure. Additionally, the ミシガン大学消費者センチメントレポート intensified fears about the economy, while rising インフレ成分 added to the anxiety, accelerating the decline.

The pair has since retreated, trading back near 1 週目のレベル and last week's closing price. A week ago, the AUDUSD closed at 0.6350, and it is currently trading just above that at 0.6356, with today’s low reaching 0.6351.

主な技術レベル ：

• 欠点：
  • A key スイングエリア near 0.6334 (previous support/resistance). A break below this level would open the door for a move toward the 100-バー MA on the 4-hour chart, between 0.62 8 7 と 0.63 0 1.
• 上方：
  • A move above the 0.64139 で 38.2% のリトレースレベル would shift the bias to the bullish side, signaling potential further gains.

今のところ、テクニカル画像は、ペアが主要なレジスタンスレベルを取り戻さない限り、売り手がコントロールを続けることを示唆しています。