EURUSD has broken below the 1.07609 と 1.07767 の間のスイングエリア, pressured by renewed 関税の見出しとインフレ懸念, which were echoed in more FRB の Musalem からのタークなコメント.

The decline also takes price further below the 100-1 時間移動平均 1.0 812 （ 下方 ）, reinforcing the bearish momentum as sellers continue to press lower.

Looking ahead, the pair is now approaching a クリティカルテクニカルゾーン near 1.0726 — 1.0730, defined by the 200-日移動平均 and the 2 月 28 日の安値から 38.2% の引き下げ. This confluence of support should slow the downside momentum and attract dip buyers, potentially setting the stage for a battle between bulls and bears at this key area.

Much will depend on how the 関税状況の展開. As Adam suggests, the 最初の樹皮は最終的な噛みより悪いかもしれません, but the market often struggles with uncertainty. And when the dust is kicked up, it can linger for some time.

That’s where 技術レベルは明確です. For now, 売り手には短期的な優位性があります, but to 拡張制御, they’ll need to push price 200 日間移動平均と 38.2% の retracement を下回った. Failing to do so would suggest the current pullback is より広範な上昇トレンド内の修正に過ぎません, rather than a deeper reversal.

より多くのダウンサイドを探している売り手のリスクは 1.07767 です。