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  • 08:57
    墨西哥湾石油钻探面临法院对濒危物种裁决的威胁
    据彭博社本周报道,美国监管机构正努力在12月的最后期限之前重写如何保护墨西哥湾濒危物种的指导方针,这可能会威胁到该地区的石油和天然气生产,该地区每天提供200万桶石油,约占美国原油产量的15%。美国一家地区法院上个月裁定,美国政府对墨西哥湾石油和天然气活动的主要濒危物种法案分析存在缺陷,没有充分评估漏油和船只罢工所面临的风险。该法案于2020年发布,详细说明了钻探、管道建设和其他操作可能如何危及该地区的受保护物种。如果监管机构未能在12月20日的最后期限前完成修订,如果法院或国会不介入以提供更多时间,依赖评估的现有石油和天然气业务可能会停止。四年前,环保组织对生物学意见提出了质疑,上个月,法官站在了他们一边,驳回了生物学意见,并将其发回国家海洋渔业局重写。根据能源监管机构向法院提供的数据,如果在最后期限之前还没有形成有效的生物学意见,能源监管机构可能会被迫每年就数百甚至数千项决定进行咨询。据彭博社报道,这个问题引起了一些海湾运营商的焦虑,他们不仅担心政府批准的延迟,还担心根据法院宣布无效的生物意见授权的现有工作的可行性。根据这份报告,从向海上平台供应船舶到在长期允许的油井继续生产,各种业务都处于危险之中。ETF:(NYSEArca:XLE)、(XOP)、(VDE)、(OIH)、(XES)、(IEZ)
2024.09.07
  • 15:00
    Boeing spacecraft, Starliner, lands on Earth
    dima_zel After a disappointing test flight, Boeing's (NYSE:BA) Starliner spacecraft returned to Earth shortly after midnight on Saturday without the crew it carried to the International Space Station a few months ago. The space vehicle landed at White Sands Space Harbor in New Mexico at 12:01 am ET on Saturday, NASA announced. Boeing (BA) launched Starliner with NASA astronauts Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams aboard, a milestone for the aircraft maker's space program marked by years of development hangups and test flight delays. The liftoff occurred on June 5 atop the Atlas 5 rocket, built by the company's joint venture with Lockheed Martin (LMT). The duo, who expected to return to Earth after a week-long mission, found themselves stuck at the International Space Station as NASA reconsidered their journey back home aboard the troubled spacecraft. In late August, the space agency tasked Elon Musk's space exploration company, SpaceX (SPACE), with bringing Wilmore and Williams back to Earth in a mission expected to conclude in February.
  • 09:00
    S&P slumps to worst week in over 1-1/2 years amid September blues, growth concerns
    franckreporter/iStock via Getty Images The S&P 500 (SP500) on Friday plunged 4.25% for the holiday-shortened week to end at 5,408.42 points, posting losses in all four sessions. Its accompanying SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) slumped 4.14% for the week. There was no sugarcoating it - it was a simply brutal week for Wall Street. The benchmark index posted its worst weekly performance since early March 2023. Its fellow major average, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (COMP:IND), fared even worse, sliding to its worst week since January 2022. Both gauges have notched their worst starts to September (first four trading days) since 2001, according to Bespoke Investment Group. The selloff was driven by concerns over economic growth after a slew of soft data during the week, especially on the labor market. That, coupled with historical September weakness, led to investors pulling out of growth sectors such as Technology and flocking to the safety of assets such as bonds. The S&P 500 Information Technology sector cratered more than 7% for the week. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields fell as traders snapped up bonds. The 10-year yield (US10Y) retreated 20 basis points for the week, while the 2-year yield (US10Y) was down 27 basis points. On Tuesday, weak manufacturing data greeted investors returning from the long Labor Day weekend. That was enough to dent the positive sentiment that had permeated markets at the end of August. Wall Street's three major indexes ended up posting their worst day since \"Black Monday 2024.\" Then on Wednesday, government data showed the number of job openings in July fell to a three-and-a-half year low. That was followed by a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas on Thursday that showed job cuts in August nearly tripled from July. Both sets of indicators soured the mood heading into the pivotal nonfarm payrolls report on Friday. That data finally arrived, showing softer-than-expected jobs growth in August and significant downward revisions to the figures for June and July. The report fanned more growth worries, and also sparked a debate among experts as to what should be the size of the expected Federal Reserve interest rate cut later this month. The attention now turns to next week's consumer price index report for further clues, though inflation has taken a backseat in terms of concerns. \"There are some jobs reports over the years that are acutely followed by markets and others that are more of an afterthought. (Friday's) was the former, and the market reaction casts no doubt on the employment data’s importance,\" Rick Rieder, BlackRock's (BLK) global fixed income chief investment officer, said on X (formerly Twitter). \"We can see the market's focus shifting from inflation to labor market data in the term-premia being priced around important data releases. It is clear that the labor market data has now overtaken inflation as the most important focus for both markets and the Federal Reserve.\" \"While the recent labor market data is clearly softer, it is very far from a disastrous indicator of recession, hard-landing, or some pernicious foreshadowing of future consumer weakness.\" \"Rather, we continue to believe the job market is moderating from robust post-COVID demand. In fact, almost none of the recent increase in unemployment has been permanent job losers; rather, it was driven by temporary (weather-related) layoffs in August, which reversed this month, and a steady stream of new entrants,\" Rieder said. Turning to the weekly performance of the S&P 500 (SP500) sectors, nine of the 11 ended in the red. Technology topped the losers with its 7.1% plunge. Consumer Staples and Real Estate were the two gainers. See below a breakdown of the performance of the sectors as well as their accompanying SPDR Select Sector ETFs from August 30 close to September 6 close: #1: Consumer Staples +0.56%, and the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLP) +0.58%. #2: Real Estate +0.15%, and the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLRE) +0.18%. #3: Utilities -0.50%, and the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLU) -0.50%. #4: Health Care -2.13%, and the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLV) -2.07%. #5: Consumer Discretionary -2.86%, and the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) -2.52%. #6: Financials -3.20%, and the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLF) -3.17%. #7: Industrials -4.35%, and the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLI) -4.24%. #8: Materials -4.84%, and the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLB) -4.66%. #9: Communication Services -5.05%, and the Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC) -4.07%. #10: Energy -5.63%, and the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLE) -5.77%. #11: Information Technology -7.06%, and the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLK) -7.45%. For investors looking to track the benchmark S&P 500 (SP500), here are some exchange-traded funds of interest: (VOO), (IVV), (RSP), (SSO), (UPRO), (SH), (SDS), and (SPXU). For investors looking into the future of what's happening, take a look at the Seeking Alpha Catalyst Watch to see next week's breakdown of actionable events that stand out.
2024.09.06
  • 14:57
    法国7月份贸易逆差达59亿欧元
    约瑟夫·克拉克法国(Joseph Clark France)2024年7月贸易逆差为59亿欧元,低于当月的60亿欧元逆差。该数字高于预期的55亿欧元逆差。出口从6月的515亿欧元降至7月的49.8亿欧元。进口从6月的575亿欧元降至7月的55亿欧元。7月份工业生产比上个月下降0.50%。ETF:(NYSEARCA:EWQ)货币:(欧元:美元)
  • 08:58
    Steel Dynamics提交对进口耐腐蚀钢材征税的请愿书
    Kapook2981/iStock via Getty Images Steel Dynamic(纳斯达克股票代码:STLD)周四表示,该公司已向美国商务部和美国国际贸易委员会请愿,要求对进口的耐腐蚀扁钢征收反倾销税,声称进口激增损害了国内钢铁行业。该公司表示,应对从澳大利亚、巴西、加拿大、墨西哥、荷兰、南非、台湾、土耳其、阿联酋和越南进口的商品征收关税,并对从巴西、加拿大、墨西哥和越南进口的商品征收反补贴税。该公司表示,今年上半年,从上述10个国家进口的耐腐蚀平轧钢材从去年同期的不到125万吨飙升至近200万吨,影响了美国钢铁行业的产量、价格和利润。钢铁动力公司(STLD)表示,在启动之前,希望在今年晚些时候就补贴问题做出初步裁决,明年初就倾销问题做出初步裁决,两家机构的最终裁决都将在2025年10月之前完成。
2024.09.05
  • 15:00
    HIVE Digital mines 112 Bitcoins in August
    luza studios/E+ via Getty Images HIVE Digital Technologies (NASDAQ:HIVE) mined 112 Bitcoins, down from July's 116 Bitcoins. The company increased its Bitcoin holdings to 2,533 BTC, reflecting a 1% growth from the previous month. HIVE (HIVE) also acquired 1,000 Bitmain S21 Pro Antminers for immediate delivery to upgrade its existing suite of machines, enhancing overall mining efficiency and capacity. HIVE (HIVE) maintained an average Bitcoin mining capacity of over 5 EH/s throughout the month. The company averaged 3.6 BTC per day, highlighting operational efficiency and robust mining capabilities. The mining efficiency averaged 22.4 Bitcoin per EH/s, ending August with a 5.3 EH/s capacity and a consistent average hashrate of 5.0 EH/s. The stock price fell 0.71% on Wednesday during after hours of trade.
  • 09:00
    Brent crude lowest since June; Citi sees $60/bbl in 2025 without deeper OPEC cuts
    SlavkoSereda/iStock via Getty Images Crude oil futures extended the previous session's sharp losses, with the U.S. benchmark slipping below $70/bbl for the first time this year, surrendering early gains following delegate comments that OPEC+ was considering a delay in plans to start unwinding production cuts. Instead, lackluster data from the U.S. and China have reinforced fears about a weaker global economy and oil demand, helping set off a broader decline in world markets, and the prospect of OPEC and its allies returning barrels to the market amid weak demand only adds to worries. Chinese data released over the weekend showed manufacturing activity sank to a six-month low in August, as growth in new home prices slowed, and U.S. data from the Institute for Supply Management pointed to a continued slowdown in manufacturing. Meanwhile, Libya's central bank governor reportedly said there are strong indications that political factions in the country are nearing an agreement, which would pave the way for more than 500K bbl/day of oil to return to the market. Front-month Nymex crude (CL1:COM) for October delivery closed -1.6% to $69.20/bbl, its lowest settlement value since December 12, and front-month November Brent crude (CO1:COM) finished -1.4% to $72.70/bbl, its weakest settlement since June 2023. Also, Nymex gasoline and heating oil prices ended at lowest since December 2021, with October gasoline (XB1:COM) -0.8% to $1.96/gal and October heating oil (HO1:COM) -2.2% to $2.16/gal. Nymex front-month natural gas (NG1:COM) for October delivery settled -2.6% to $2.15/MMBtu. ETFs: (NYSEARCA:USO), (BNO), (UCO), (SCO), (USL), (DBO), (DRIP), (GUSH), (USOI), (UGA), (UNG), (BOIL), (KOLD), (UNL), (FCG) OPEC+ would need to extend their voluntary additional output cuts for longer to sustain a recovery in oil prices, and if it fails to do so, the average price of oil could drop to $60/bbl in 2025 due to reduced demand and increased supply from non-OPEC countries, Citi analysts said, according to Reuters. \"Although there could be a technical price rebound soon, if OPEC+ does not provide reassurance that current output cuts would be extended more indefinitely, then the market could lose faith in OPEC+ defending the $70/bbl level,\" Citi said. Geopolitical tensions were initially expected to boost oil prices, but each rebound since October 2023 has weakened, Citi said, adding the market has learned that tensions do not necessarily lead to reduced production or transit issues, making rallies an opportunity to sell. In contrast, UBS sees Brent rising above $80/bbl over the coming months, saying the oil market remains undersupplied despite weak Chinese demand, and demand remains strong in other countries.
2024.09.04
  • 15:01
    Snap CEO blames slow advertising business for stock underperformance
    Justin Sullivan Snap (NYSE:SNAP) will focus on growing its advertising business and augmented reality offerings, CEO Evan Spiegel told employees in a note on Tuesday. The Santa Monica-based company plans to introduce new ad placements driven by machine learning and automation, as well as invest in augmented reality and smart glasses, similar to initiatives by social media company Meta (META). \"You may be wondering why, with all of the progress we've made in our business over the last year, our share price performance has lagged the overall market. The answer is simple: our advertising business is growing slower than our competitors,\" Spiegel said in the note titled 13 Years at Snap. \"The growth of our digital advertising business is one of the most important inputs to our long-term revenue potential, and investors are concerned that we aren’t growing faster,\" he added. The company is also experimenting with new ad placements like Sponsored Snaps and Promoted Places to help advertisers drive return on investment across Snapchat. This strategic shift comes as the Snapchat app maker faces stiff competition from major social media platforms like Meta's (META) Instagram and ByteDance's (BDNCE) TikTok for ad revenue. Snap (SNAP) will continue to invest in its machine learning engineering team and infrastructure and will focus on key product offerings like dynamic product ads, app objectives, target cost bidding, and value optimization. Snap (SNAP) provided a weak current quarter forecast in its Q2 report, attributing it to a decline in advertising spend. Shares of Snap (SNAP) fell ~48% so far this year. The stock gets a Seeking Alpha quant rating of Hold with a 2.77 score.
  • 08:57
    Arcadium Lithium股价跌至新低;瑞银因定价持续疲软而以中性开盘
    MF3d/iStock via Getty Images Arcadium Lithium(纽约证券交易所股票代码:ALTM)周二收盘下跌9.6%,是随着看跌情绪席卷能源板块大范围下跌而创下52周新低的几只替代能源股票之一。维斯特拉和星座能源是S指数当天跌幅最大的两家公司,分别下跌11.3%和9.6%。同样跌至52周新低的还有:Ascent Solar Technologies(ASTI)-19.5%,Ballard Power Systems(BLDP)-4.9%,Blink Charging(BLNK)-8%,加拿大太阳能(CSIQ)-3%,Fuelcell Energy(FCEL)-4.9%,Li-Cycle Holdings(LICE)-7.2%,Plug Power(Plug)-6.9%,利乐科技(TTI)-5.6%,WKHS-9.3%。分析师约书亚·斯佩克特表示,Arcadium Lithium(Altm)在瑞银(UBS)以中性评级和3美元目标价启动,称较低的锂价格可能会推迟到本世纪末的扩张。世行最新的锂预测显示,中国的锂价格在未来两年可能保持在每公斤10美元左右,因为中国/非洲的供应继续以低于预期的成本增加,而西方的低成本供应继续增加。斯佩克特表示,他对Arcadium(Altm)2025-26年的EBITDA预估比市场普遍预期低20%-26%,这在短期内是负面的,但由于我们的预测更接近现货定价,市场可能已经出现了这种情况。瑞银对Arcadium的长期预期更为乐观,但他认为,在当前供应过剩时期结束之前,市场不会将潜在的产能扩张或锂价格上涨归功于市场--可能至少要到2026年。
2024.09.03
  • 14:57
    特斯拉计划在中国推出Model Y的六座变体-报告
    据路透社报道,Jetcityimage/iStock社论,通过Getty Images特斯拉(纳斯达克股票代码:TSLA)将在中国生产其Model Y的六座变体,预计将于2025年底开始生产,并援引直接了解此事的人士的话。特斯拉(TSLA)在其上海工厂已要求供应商为Model Y产量的两位数激增做好准备。然而,报告称,目前尚不清楚该公司将如何提高其工厂的产量,该工厂正在等待批准扩建172英亩的前农田。这一决定是特斯拉(TSLA)提高其Model Y吸引力战略的一部分,该战略是中国所有动力类型中最畅销的汽车,2024年1月至6月期间销量为207,800辆。Model Y的五座版本预计将于2025年初首次亮相,比原计划有所推迟。特斯拉(TSLA)预计第三季度中国销量将出现增长,特别是年底推出的全自动驾驶汽车。
  • 08:57
    活动人士埃利奥特跨越门槛呼吁西南航空公司召开会议-路透社
    Rypson/iStock社论通过Getty Images Elliott Investment Management积累了西南航空(NYSE:LIV)普通股10%的股份,使这位活动家能够召开特别会议。据路透社周一援引一位知情人士的话说,这家著名的维权对冲基金通过衍生品获得了西南航空11%的经济股权,并将所持股份转换为普通股,超过了10%的门槛。埃利奥特的整体经济利益保持不变。这一消息传出之际,埃利奥特计划于9月9日与西南航空公司(LUV)会面。9.埃利奥特上个月表示,计划提名10名董事候选人进入该航空公司的15人董事会。埃利奥特在6月份证实,它持有西南航空(Southwest)20亿美元的股份,这位活动人士推动西南航空进行业务评估,并相信该航空公司的股票可以达到每股49美元。埃利奥特呼吁新的领导层,包括公司首席执行官鲍勃·乔丹和董事长加里·凯利。
2024.09.02
  • 15:00
    Blackstone-led consortium nearing deal to buy AirTrunk for $13.5B - report
    Roman Tiraspolsky/iStock Editorial via Getty Images A consortium led by Blackstone (NYSE:BX) was reportedly nearing a $13.53B deal to buy Australia-based data center group AirTrunk. Blackstone (BX) and its partner, the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, were the preferred buyer for the data center firm, after it outbid a rival investor group, Reuters reported citing a source. Macquarie Asia Infrastructure Fund 2 and PSP Investments had together, as part of a consortium, acquired a majority stake in the company in 2020. The deal might be announced in the next few days, the report added.
  • 08:57
    九月是最熊市的月份吗?派珀表示,标准普尔是的,银行不是
    华尔街的传说认为,9月是股市表现最差的一个月。派珀·桑德勒决定研究数据是否证实了这一点,如果证实了,是否也适用于银行。该公司回顾了过去25年,计算了S指数(SPX)一年中每个月上涨的月份百分比。Piper的FSG Research主管马克·菲茨吉本(Mark Fitzgibbon)在最近给客户的一份报告中写道,事实上,9月份的涨幅最低,有46%的时间是上涨的。11月份的涨幅最高,有75%的时间是上涨的。然后,他观察了9月效应是否适用于银行股。他在给客户的报告中写道:“令我们惊讶的是,结果与大盘略有不同。”对于S银行指数(SP500-401010)来说,6月份是表现最差的一个月,涨幅仅为32%。银行股表现最好的月份是7月份,有76%的时间录得涨幅。对于这类股票来说,9月份是一年中表现第八好的月份,也是表现最差的第五个月。对于规模较小的银行股,根据纳斯达克银行指数(BKX)衡量,1月和6月并列表现最差的月份,9月表现排名第八。该指标表现最好的月份是11月份。Piper Sandler对以下银行的评级为减持:夏威夷银行(NYSE:BOH)、国泰通用银行(Nasdaq:CATY)、Huntington BancShares(NASDAQ:HBAN)、西北银行(NASDAQ:NWBI)、西蒙斯第一国民银行(NASDAQ:SFNC)和华盛顿信托银行(NASDAQ:WASH)。在多元化和区域性银行中,SA Quant评级系统将纽约社区银行(NYSE:NYCB)、凯旋金融(NASDAQ:TFIN)、法拉盛金融(NASDAQ:FFIC)、米德兰州立银行(NASDAQ:MSBI)和Eagle Bancorp(NASDAQ:EGBN)列为最低评级的五家银行。SA Quant系统的首选银行包括美国银行(BAC)、第一公民银行(FCNCA)、东西银行(EWBC)、富国银行(WFC)和富尔顿金融(Fulton Financial)。值得注意的是,过去一年,S银行指数攀升了42%,纳斯达克银行指数上涨了40%,超过了S和S指数24%的涨幅。
2024.09.01
  • 15:00
    Li Auto delivers over 48,000 vehicles in August
    Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) has reported 48,122 vehicles delivery in August 2024, an increase of 37.8% year over year, however the deliveries are down from 51,000 in July. The total deliveries in 2024 reached to 288,103. As of August 31, 2024, its cumulative deliveries reached 921,467 vehicles. Notably, the share of the RMB200,000 and higher NEV market grew to 18% in July, outpacing Tesla to become the sales champion among NEV brands in China. As of August 31, 2024, the Company had 481 retail stores in 145 cities, 423 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 220 cities, and 748 super charging stations in operation equipped with 3,506 charging stalls in China. Source: Press Release
  • 09:00
    PJM capacity prices could soar again in next auction, Morgan Stanley says
    Gargolas/iStock via Getty Images Capacity prices for most of PJM Interconnection's coverage area could hit a $695/MW-day price cap, more than double the record-high $270/MW-day reached in PJM's July capacity auction and driven by tight power supplies, Morgan Stanley said in an analysis this week reported by UtilityDive.com. The potential jump in capacity prices for the 2026-27 delivery year auction set for December would push energy bills higher, Morgan Stanley said; when combined with PJM's previous capacity auction, the next auction could increase residential electricity bills by ~20%, according to the analysis. \"It would also likely increase political risk given yet another increase in customer bills - potential for re-regulation initiatives, subsidized generation, or restrictions on certain new load like data centers,\" the report said, according to UtilityDive.com. With extremely tight supply-demand conditions, PJM's capacity market would be very sensitive to relatively small changes in power supplies, the analysis said. \"If there are a few GW of new power plants built, and this offsets any plants that exit due to retirement, prices could potentially swing between $300/MW-day and the [nearly] $700/MW-day maximum,\" the report said. \"Considering these factors, we think there is a strong case that prices clear at $700 given the challenges in bringing significant new power plant capacity online in time (just an [18-month] time frame).\" Morgan Stanley's analysts said higher capacity prices would provide a financial boost to power plant-owning companies such as Vistra (NYSE:VST), Constellation Energy (CEG), Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG), NRG Energy (NRG) and Talen Energy (TLN). ETF: (XLU)
2024.08.31
  • 14:57
    医疗财产信托与Steward Health达成和解
    Arkadiusz Warguła/iStock via Getty Images Steward Health Care是一家私营医院运营商,于5月申请破产。周五,该公司宣布与医疗财产信托基金(NYSE:MPW)达成协议,解决租赁索赔纠纷。根据协议,美国最大的医院业主医疗地产信托公司(MPW)将根据其总租约接管斯图尔特的医院,并为所有相关的运营费用提供资金。在出售这些医院之后,双方同意用交易所得向贷款人和债权人付款。该协议有待破产法院批准,预计将解决MPT和Steward之间关于租赁义务的纠纷。由于听证会可能在9月10日举行,MPT最大的租户斯图尔特表示,它将寻求破产法院批准这笔交易。周四,该公司宣布了一项出售其在马萨诸塞州的六家医院的协议。
  • 09:00
    Gold turns lower as U.S. yields rise after inflation data but higher for the month
    monsitj/iStock via Getty Images Gold prices fell Friday, dipping below $2,500/oz, as Treasury yields and the dollar pushed higher after U.S. inflation data matched expectations, reinforcing the likelihood that interest rate cuts will be conducted at a measured pace. Data from the Commerce Department showed the personal consumption expenditures price index, considered the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation gauge, rose 0.2% last month, matching economists' forecasts. The data supports the Fed's intentions to begin easing monetary policy as soon as the upcoming September meeting, with most market watchers expecting the size of the first rate cut at a modest 25 basis points. Investors will now look ahead to the U.S. non-farm payroll report due next week, \"which will solidify whether or not we have a 50- or 25-basis point interest rate cut at the September meeting,\" Blue Line Futures chief market strategist Phillip Streible said, according to Reuters. Front-month Comex gold (XAUUSD:CUR) for September delivery settled -1.2% to $2,493.80/oz and finished 0.7% lower for the week, but the front-month gained 2.7% for the month, its sixth straight monthly gain; gold is up 21% YTD and off slightly from yesterday's all-time settlement high of $2,525.70. Front-month September silver (XAGUSD:CUR) closed -2.8% on Friday, while shedding 3.6% for the week but just 0.1% for the month, but still its third consecutive monthly loss; silver is up 20% YTD. ETFs: (NYSEARCA:GLD), (NYSEARCA:GDX), (GDXJ), (IAU), (NUGT), (PHYS), (GLDM), (AAAU), (SGOL), (BAR), (OUNZ), (SLV), (PSLV), (SIVR), (SIL), (SILJ) TD Securities strategist Daniel Ghali said he anticipates near-term downside for gold as \"positioning cues are flashing red on several fronts,\" with macro funds positions particularly extreme, as reported by Bloomberg. \"Systematic trend followers are effectively max-long,\" according to Ghali. \"We also think that Shanghai positioning is near its record highs... despite the fact that physical demand in China has been fairly weak and inflows from Chinese gold ETFs as well.\" A move lower toward $2,430/oz could trigger liquidation, Ghali said.
2024.08.30
  • 14:57
    法国通胀率降至1.9%,第二季度GDP增长0.2%
    约瑟夫·克拉克法国8月份通胀率从7月份的2.30%降至1.90%,高于预期的1.8%。8月份消费者价格指数环比上涨0.60%。第二季度GDP环比增长0.20%,低于共识的0.3%。第二季度GDP环比增长1%。ETF:(NYSEARCA:EWQ)货币:(欧元:美元)
  • 08:58
    利比亚和伊拉克的供应担忧导致原油走高
    周四,随着利比亚供应中断的恶化和伊拉克减产计划引发对全球供应趋紧的担忧,斯拉夫科塞里达/iStock Via Getty Images原油期货价格从连续两天的下跌中反弹。据路透社报道,利比亚一半以上的石油生产处于停产状态,由于敌对政治派别之间的对峙,几个港口的石油出口暂停。据道琼斯报道,BOK Financial的丹尼斯·基斯勒表示:“虽然目前尚不清楚利比亚将削减多少出口,但一些分析师表示,每天50万至90万桶的出口可能会受到影响,因为围绕银行系统控制权的内部纠纷仍是交易员的担忧。”他补充说,从技术上讲,西德克萨斯中质原油10月份的原油价格仍处于看跌结构,近期支撑在73.82区域。前沿商品公司的Aline Carnizelo告诉路透社,利比亚的线下生产面临着达到每天100万桶的迫在眉睫的风险,并补充说,10月份之前不太可能逐步复苏,即使在封锁解除后也是如此。交易员必须适应利比亚成为市场的不确定因素。路透社还报道,伊拉克计划在9月份减少石油产量,作为补偿超过与欧佩克+商定的配额的产量计划的一部分。7月份产量为425万桶/日的伊拉克,据报道将在下月将产量削减至380万至390万桶/日;其商定的配额为400万桶/日。此外,美国第二季度国内生产总值从之前的2.8%上调至3%,瑞穗的罗伯特·约格表示,这“引发了今天多个资产类别的牛市”,原油似乎“高潮迭起”。约格还指出,以色列与真主党或伊朗的冲突仍有升级的风险。10月份交割的近月纽约商品交易所原油(CL1:COM)收盘上涨1.8%,至75.91美元/桶,10月份交割的布伦特原油(CO1:COM)结算价上涨1.6%,至79.94美元/桶,两个基准均打破了连续两天的下滑。此外,10月份纽约商品交易所天然气期货(NG1:COM)收盘上涨1.9%,至2.137美元/MMBtu,此前美国能源情报署(Energy Information Administration)报告称,上周地下储气量增加了350亿cf,略低于预期。ETF:(NYSEArca:USO),(BNO),(UCO),(SCO),(USL),(DBO),(Dop),(Gush),(USOI),(UNG),(Boil),(KOLD),(UNL),(FCG)利比亚长期停摆将让OPEC+有更多的喘息空间来按计划增加第四季度的供应,但短暂的中断将使该组织的决定变得更加困难,ING策略师说。荷兰国际集团表示,如果需求问题仍然存在,欧佩克+将不愿向市场提供额外的供应。
2024.08.29
  • 14:57
    参议员里克·斯科特(Rick Scott)质疑英特尔首席执行官尽管获得了200亿美元的拨款,但仍会裁员-报告
    路透社援引一封写给盖尔辛格的信报道,哈巴帕共和党参议员里克·斯科特质疑英特尔(纳斯达克股票代码:INTC)首席执行官帕特·盖尔辛格,尽管该公司计划提供200亿美元的联邦资金,但仍计划裁员1.5万人。来自美国商务部的资金旨在支持半导体制造部门。斯科特对纳税人的资金是否得到有效分配表示担忧。报告显示,斯科特质疑融资计划是否未能包括真正的衡量标准,以保护纳税人的资金不会流向无法满足美国制造业和创造就业高标准的公司。英特尔(Intel)早些时候表示,计划裁员数千人,以降低成本,并帮助为扭亏为盈计划提供资金。斯科特要求详细说明受裁员影响的美国员工数量,以及裁员可能如何影响英特尔(INTC)计划在半导体生产方面的投资。“英特尔试图通过这些裁员达到什么目的,为什么数十亿美国纳税人的投资没有得到足够的支持来避免裁员的需要?”斯科特问道。预计的资金包括85亿美元的赠款和高达110亿美元的贷款,旨在为包括亚利桑那州、新墨西哥州、俄亥俄州和俄勒冈州在内的各州创造约1万个制造业工作岗位和2万个建筑业工作岗位。赠款协议尚未敲定。周四盘前交易时段,英特尔股价下跌1.12%,至19.39美元。
  • 11:02
    SPARQ收到额外价值20 MW微型逆变器的采购订单
    SPARQ Systems(OTCQB:SPRQF)宣布,已收到为印度市场供应10,000台Q2000 Quad Microinverter的采购订单。该订单是继2024年6月宣布的6,000台Q2000 Quad Microinverter的订单之后。资料来源:新闻稿
2024.08.28
  • 09:00
    高盛将2025年布伦特原油前景下调至77美元,指出中国需求困境
    周二,斯拉夫科塞里达/iStock Via Getty Images原油期货结束了连续三个交易日的涨势,回吐了前一天的强势,原因是中东紧张局势升级、利比亚敌对的东部政府将关闭该国大部分石油生产的消息,以及美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)最近暗示货币政策放松的言论。据Marketwatch报道,ICICI银行的分析师写道,与上个月相比,全球原油价格出现了“下行倾向”,“对全球需求的担忧做出了回应,尽管现货市场仍然吃紧”,但下行幅度受到“持续的地缘政治紧张局势的限制,因为以色列和真主党的紧张局势似乎已经升级”,以及利比亚传出的报告。但据路透社报道,Ritterbusch分析师表示,尽管油价回落幅度很大,但在连续三天大幅上涨6美元/桶后,仍处于正常且理应回调的范围内。10月份交割的近月纽约商品交易所原油(CL1:COM)收盘下跌2.4%,至75.53美元/桶,10月份交割的布伦特原油(CO1:COM)收盘下跌2.3%,至79.55美元/桶。此外,近月纽约商品交易所天然气期货价格(NG1:COM)连续第六个交易日下跌,9月份合约下跌2.6%,至1.904美元/MMBtu,原因是市场继续担心巨大的存储过剩。ETF:(NYSEArca:USO),(BNO),(UCO),(SCO),(USL),(Dbo),(Dop),(Gush),(USOI),(UNG),(BOIL),(KOLD),(UNL),(FCG)高盛将2025年布伦特原油平均预测从82美元/桶下调至77美元/桶,指出石油库存增加和中国的需求低迷。以石油研究主管Daan Struyven为首的高盛分析师写道:“这一调整反映了经合组织库存相对于我们6月份的余额预期以及对长期价格的较低公允价值估计的上行惊喜。”高盛考虑到,如果欧佩克+增加供应,对美国页岩原油生产商的潜在影响。高盛表示,“油价可能在短期内大幅下降,特别是如果欧佩克从战略上更有力地抑制美国页岩的增长,或者如果经济衰退减少石油需求。”
2024.08.27
  • 15:00
    国防金属首席执行官辞职
    Defense Metals(OTCQB:DFCTF)宣布辞去首席执行官兼董事职务以及Len Clough辞去董事职务,立即生效,以追求其他利益。该公司表示,正在寻找新首席执行官。在此期间,执行董事长Guy de Selliers将领导公司,与董事会、总裁Luisa Moreno和首席独立董事Dale Wallster密切合作。此外,企业发展高级副总裁兼临时首席财务官Alex Heath将在协助高管团队和指导公司完成这一过渡方面发挥重要作用。与这次过渡有关,该公司已同意向泰勒发行总计160万股公司普通股,作为他遣散费的一部分。
  • 09:00
    利比亚石油停产“无法轻易替代”,原油价格上涨超过3%
    周一,在以色列和真主党周末发生交火,利比亚东部敌对政府表示将停止石油生产和出口后,SavkoSereda/iStock via Getty Images原油期货价格飙升逾3%。上周五,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔暗示9月开始降息后,原油期货价格进一步上涨。星期一,以色列派出100多架战机摧毁数千枚真主党导弹发射器,促使真主党作出回应,周一油价已经上涨。但是,利比亚东部政府在利比亚中央银行控制权争端中称,所有石油生产和出口都是不可抗力,导致油价飙升,因为失去所有利比亚石油出口将对全球石油市场产生重大影响。据道琼斯报道,荷兰国际集团策略师沃伦·帕特森和埃瓦·曼西表示,除非伊朗更直接地参与其中,否则以色列和真主党交锋带来的提振可能是短暂的,这将\“更有意义地增加石油供应风险”。据彭博社报道,瑞银分析师Giovanni Staunovo表示,利比亚的石油减产代表着\“可能失去的真正的石油供应,因此,只要石油供应持续,现货市场就会吃紧。”他补充说,利比亚的石油产量有可能从目前每天100万桶的水平下降到零。他补充说,这样的中断可能会持续多长时间是很难评估的。利比亚的轻质低硫原油……价格期货集团高级市场分析师Phil Flynn告诉MarketWatch,“大多数石油预测人士预计,2025年石油需求增长将徘徊在每天100万桶左右。如果利比亚在另一场内战中陷入困境,2025年的余额可能看起来与今年非常相似,尽管沙特和俄罗斯的产量增加了,\“开普勒原油分析师Viktor Katona告诉路透社。美国原油可能是最大的受益者,因为欧洲买家转向轻质美国页岩油,以取代利比亚失去的供应,这解释了为什么西德克萨斯中质原油今天上涨如此之多,表现优于布伦特原油,开普勒的马特·史密斯说。纽约商品交易所10月份交割的近月原油期货(CL1:COM)收涨3.4%,至77.42美元/桶,为8月15日以来的最高结算价,近月10月布伦特原油(CO1:COM)收涨3%,至81.43美元/桶,为8月12日以来的最佳结算价。交易所交易基金:(USO)、(BNO)、(UCO)、(SCO)、(SCO)、(DBO)、(Dop)、(Gush)、(USOI)能源(NYSEARCA:XLE)是S指数当天收盘最强劲的板块,收盘时上涨0.9%。有6家能源公司跻身S指数涨幅前15名:EOG Resources+2.5%,Xcel Energy+2.2%,埃克森美孚(Exxon Mobil)+2.1%,康菲石油(ConocoPhillips)+1.9%,马拉松石油(Marathon Oil)+1.8%,亚太石油公司(APA Corp.)+1.8%。据道琼斯称,中东溢价走高,加上美联储指出9月降息,以及本周美国原油库存可能再次减少,应该会为原油提供支撑。道琼斯表示,这些因素中的任何一项似乎都有能力迫使市场获得支撑,我们认为,这些因素的结合可能会迫使西德克萨斯中质原油在未来一到两周内升至80美元大关。
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