The USDCAD once again 从红盒中挣脱出来 today amid tariff tensions between the 美国和加拿大. Initially, Canada announced an 电费, prompting a sharp market reaction. However, after discussions, Canada 取消附加费, and 特朗普总统反驳道 by suggesting he may adjust the 50%的关税威胁 on steel and aluminum. Additionally, both sides agreed to meet on 周四 to discuss necessary adjustments to the USMCA协议 or its implementation.

As a result, 关税驱动的头条新闻 have triggered 价格波动, with swings in both directions depending on the prevailing sentiment.

技术展望

• 当前价格： Trading around 1.4400, between key moving averages.
• 阻力：
  • 1.4404（200小时MA） – A move above this level would keep the price in the 红盒的上半部分.
• 支持：
  • 1.4368（100小时MA） – A break below this level could shift focus toward:
  • 1.4345（50%回撤水平） – A key technical support.
  • 1.4268-1.4278（红框的低端，钥匙挥杆区域） – Deeper downside target.

总结

• USDCAD仍受区间限制 between its 100-hour and 200-hour MAs.
• A 突破1.4404上方 would favor a move higher within the Red Box.
• A 跌破1.4368 increases the chance of a test toward 1.4345 and possibly 1.4268-1.4278.
• 关税消息仍然是波动的主要驱动因素, with further developments likely influencing direction.