The AUDUSD remains under seller control, but a critical support zone between 0.6334和0.6363 is currently being tested. This area has acted as a significant floor on the daily chart since November 2023.

最近的价格行动

• Earlier this week, the price stalled at 0.6336, just above the lower boundary of the swing area opn the daily chart (see green numbered circles on the chart below), before rebounding.

• During yesterday’s trade, the pair rallied to 0.6400, breaking above the falling 100-hour moving average but failing to sustain momentum at the 200-小时均线 (near 0.6429 yesterday - see green line on the chart below). Sellers leaned against this level, pushing the price back down by the session close.

• In today’s trading, the price attempted to move higher during the London session but fell short of the 100-小时均线, now at 0.6389.

需要关注的关键级别

• 买家的上行目标:
  • 0.6389（100小时移动平均线）: A break above this level is the minimum requirement for buyers to gain some control.
  • 0.6411（200小时移动平均线）: A move above this level would signal a potential shift in momentum toward buyers.
• 卖家的不利目标:
  • 0.6334（摇摆区支持）: A break below this level would reinforce the bearish bias, likely triggering further downside exploration.

总结

• 0.6389以上: Buyers start to challenge the bearish trend, with further upside potential toward 0.6411.
• 低于0.6334: Sellers cement their control, opening the door for continued downside momentum.

For now, sellers remain firmly in control unless buyers can reclaim key moving averages. The immediate focus remains on whether the critical swing area between 0.6334和0.6363 holds or breaks.