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新西兰元兑美元正在测试2022年和2023年的波动低点。 地板会碎吗?

新西兰元兑美元今日触及2024年新低,达到0.5753,接近2022年11月至2023年10月底关键波动低点的中点:。

The NZDUSD is trading at a new 2024 low today, reaching 0.5753, positioning the price near the midpoint of key swing lows from November 2022 and end of October 2023:

  • 0.5739 (November 2022 low)
  • 0.5772 (October 2023 low)

A break below this support area would strengthen the bearish bias, encouraging traders to probe lower levels. Conversely, holding support and moving back above 0.5772 could indicate the start of another corrective rally, similar to those seen from the November 2020 and October 2023 lows.

关键级别和技术信号

向上目标 (for a corrective move):

  1. 0.5796: Swing low from November 26.
  2. 0.5800: Falling 100-hour moving average and psychological resistance level.
  3. 0.5814: Swing level above 0.5800.
  4. 0.5829: Falling 200-hour moving average.
  5. 0.5862: 38.2% retracement of the November decline. Breaking above this level would shift momentum and give sellers a reason to pause.

下行风险:

  • A break below 0.5739 would confirm the bearish continuation, increasing the likelihood of deeper declines.

总结

The immediate focus is on whether the 0.5739-0.5772 support zone holds or breaks.

  • 0.5800以上: Signals a potential corrective rally, with upside targets aligning with key moving averages and resistance levels.
  • 低于0.5739: Confirms continued bearish momentum, with lower lows in sight.

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