The USDCAD is finding upside resistance at the 200-小时移动平均线（见上图绿线）, which have done a good job of stalling rallies and keeping the 技术偏见倾向于卖家。The 200-hour MA comes in at 1.43485 currently. Adding to the bearish lean, price action is also trading 低于100小时移动平均线1.43276（上图蓝线）, reinforcing near-term selling pressure.

The pair last week re-tested and 从2月低点1.4319向上回撤38.2%。The price did move above that level on Thurday, but quickly reversed lower. That adds another technical ceiling to monitor. Unless buyers can push above these moving averages with conviction (and broken 38.2% retracement), upside potential is limited/the sellers are more in control.

On the downside, key support is found in the 1.4268-1.42789回转区, followed by the 100日移动平均线上升 just beneath that zone. A break below these levels would likely invite further bearish momentum.

关键技术水平：

• 阻力：

  • 100-小时MA：1.43276

  • 200-小时MA：1.43454

  • 38.2% Fib（3月份反弹）：1.43916

• 支持：

  • 61.8%，至1.42993

  • 秋千面积：1.4268-1.42789

  • 100-MA日：~1.42486