USDCHF spent last week consolidating after a sustained move lower that pushed the pair to its 2011年以来的最低水平. The sideways action formed a 支撑地板在0.8098和0.81288之间, while allowing the 100小时移动平均线下降 to catch up to price.

On Thursday, the pair briefly moved above the 100-hour MA but failed to break above earlier swing highs from earlier in the week. By late Friday, the price had fallen back 低于100小时移动平均线, shifting the short-term bias 坚定地回到劣势.

That downside momentum continued into today’s session, with the pair breaking below the 4月11日低点0.80987 and holding below that level since. With USDCHF now trading at fresh multi-year lows and 几乎没有历史支持, the path of least resistance remains to the downside—unless buyers can start reclaiming key topside levels.

为了改变这种偏见，买家需要：

• First, reclaim the 4月11日低点0.80987

• Then, push above the swing area high at 0.81288

• Next, test the 100-小时移动平均线0.81576

• And finally, challenge the 200-小时移动平均线报0.82119

Clearing these resistance levels one by one would build confidence for buyers and 通知卖方. Until then, with the pair below the prior low and no strong downside targets nearby, 中短期内，卖家仍处于牢牢控制之下.和长期控制。