The AUDUSD attempted a 看涨突破 this week, moving above the 100-日移动平均线（MA） for the first time since 2024年10月, but buying stalled midweek, and sellers pushed the price back below the key 100-day MA, keeping the overall bias tilted to the downside as the week nears its close.

Yesterday, the pair 离开100天MA and dropped beneath the 4小时图表上的100/200 bar MA（下方的蓝线和绿线）, located around 0.6297. Heading into the new trading day, the price moved back toward these MAs, where sellers leaned in to maintain downward pressure and keep the bias to the downside. .

During the 美国会议, the pair has continued lower, reaching key 0.6254 - 0.6268之间的下摇摆区上边界附近的支撑. Yesterday’s low also found support at the same level, reinforcing its significance. Additionally, 上周的低点停滞在这个摇摆区域, highlighting it as a critical zone.

If sellers are to push lower, a 突破并持续移至该区域下方是必要的.

卖方的密切风险和偏差转移水平是回到4小时图表上100巴MA上方0.62959，同一图表上200巴MA上方0.63058。超过这些水平，买家可能会寻求再次进入100天MA。