The AUDUSD made a run higher in early trading, but momentum stalled at a familiar resistance zone — just below the 38.2%回撤位 of the move down from the December high, and near the 从两周前开始飙升.

That ceiling, around 0.6390-0.64136, remains a key upside barrier. Buyers made a push, but the failure to break through suggests a lack of conviction and opens the door for a bearish reversal.

The pair is now sliding back toward a 关键移动平均线集群 on the 4-hour chart — including the 100-bar and 200-bar MAs on the 4-hour chart and the 100 day MA — currently between 0.6305 - 0.6317面积. A move 在此区域以下 would tilt the bias back to the downside and potentially trigger further selling.

目前，澳元兑美元仍陷入上行阻力与移动平均线支撑基础之间的斗争。哪一方突破可能会决定下一次的方向推进。

关键技术水平：

• 阻力： 0.6390–0.64136 (recent high + 38.2% retracement)

• 支持： 0.6305–0.6317 (cluster of moving averages)

• 偏见： Neutral near-term, bearish if MAs break