The 新西兰元兑美元下跌-3.47%, marking its 创至少2012年底以来最大单日跌幅. Even during the height of the 2020 pandemic, the worst daily drop was -3.39%—today’s move surpasses that, making it the steepest fall in over 12 years.

On the daily chart, yesterday’s high briefly pierced the 38.2%回撤位 of the decline from the 2024年9月高点, reaching 0.58522, just above the retracement level at 0.58448. However, buyers failed to hold that breakout, and price quickly rotated back to the downside.

China’s retaliatory tariffs added fuel to the selloff, driving NZDUSD sharply lower to test key support at 0.5583—a level defined by the February 4 and 28 lows. Today’s session low reached 0.5571, with price currently trading at 0.5591.

接下来是什么？

• 跌破0.5583 opens the door to further downside, with targets at:
  • 0.5541 (January low)
  • 0.5515 (early February low)

• 持有0.5583上方 and a rebound becomes possible. Initial resistance comes in at 0.5647 (March 31 low). A move above that level would offer buyers some breathing room.

Until then, the 卖家仍然牢牢控制.