麦当劳股票（BCD）：逢低买入还是追逐反弹？

MCB的收益后设置

McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD) reported earnings on 2月10日开盘前, and the options market had priced in a 3.7%的人预计将采取行动. However, the actual reaction was 强, with the stock jumping 约4.8%. So far, MCD is holding onto its gains, signaling strength and making it an attractive buy candidate.

大问题：以什么价格购买MCB股票？

While MCD’s earnings reaction is bullish, traders always have to balance between 等待回调以获得更好的入场价格 and 冒着完全错过机会的风险. Using 成交量分析, we can identify key levels where buyers may step in.

买入水平：以MCR股票为目标进行回调

Instead of chasing the breakout, we want to 将我们的买入订单置于强支撑区 identified through volume and price action.

第一次购买：300.82美元

• 为什么？ This level is just above 300美元, a key psychological round number, where liquidity is often concentrated.
• 其他背景： It's also slightly above the 12月15日起价值区高（VAH）, which acted as resistance for nearly a month before being broken today.
• 目标： This ensures an entry ahead of those waiting at the round $300 level.

第二次购买：298.75美元

• 为什么？ Volume profile analysis shows 这个水平附近的买入兴趣.
• 其他背景： This is slightly below the 300美元心理水平, meaning it could trap weak hands who panic-sell on a minor dip.

第三次购买：296.85美元

• 为什么？ This level corresponds to 12月初以来的历史VAH水平.
• 其他背景： It aligns with 盈利前牛旗的下限, making it an ideal deeper dip-buy level.
• 期望： A strong flush down to this area is 不太可能, but having an order here ensures a better average cost.

平均入场价格计算

If all three buy orders are filled, the 平均入场价格 will be 298.81美元.

本次BCD逢低买入 * 的止盈头寸可能不会出现

A stop needs to be placed 巩固区下方 before the earnings breakout. We are setting it at 291.88美元, just below the 2月7日起的低值区（VAR）.

利润目标：获取部分利润

Since this is a post-earnings momentum trade, we are 一路锁定部分收益 before holding for potential all-time highs.

第一目标：304.72美元

• 为什么？ This is 略低于今天第一个较低的VWAP标准差, an area where price might stall temporarily.
• 目标： 风险缓解, securing a portion of the trade early.

第二目标：307.13美元

• 为什么？ This is 略低于今天的VAH, a potential short-term resistance level.
• 目标： Further de-risking while letting the remainder of the trade run.

第三目标：315.25美元

• 为什么？ Just below MCD’s 316美元的历史新高, which will likely act as a major resistance level.
• 目标： Capture 剩余的大部分上涨空间 if the rally continues.

也可以考虑未来几年的长期跑步者，例如25%的职位。最好有一些尾随停止，甚至是宽的停止。无论如何，国际海事组织，自行决定进行某种停站总比根本没有停站好。

BCD股票交易执行与风险管理

• 等位置尺寸： Instead of increasing position size at lower levels (e.g., 1x, 2x, 3x), we will allocate 所有三个购买级别的金额相同.
• 尾随停止策略： Once the second profit target is hit, move the stop-loss to 锁定收益 at the first profit target ($304.72).

最后的想法：MCB收益后游戏

McDonald's has 对收益反应强烈, and while there’s always a risk of a full reversal, the current price action suggests 看涨势头可能会持续. By strategically layering our buy orders and setting realistic targets, we position ourselves for a 高概率交易 while managing risk effectively.

📌 以本计划为指导，根据实时市场情况进行调整。交易风险自负。请访问ForexLive.com了解更多观点。