The 澳大利亚储备银行（RBA） is set to 四年来首次降息 when it announces its decision later today at 10:30 PM ET. The benchmark rate has remained at 4.35% for 10 consecutive meetings, and with inflation easing, the RBA is now positioned to begin a rate-cutting cycle.

尽管预期下调，澳元兑美元在触底0.60875（2020年4月以来的最低水平）后连续两周上涨。尽管该货币对有所上涨，但仍接近五年低点，尽管预期降息，但仍为进一步上涨留下空间。

需要关注的关键技术水平

• 支持级别：

  • 0.6334 – Staying above this level keeps the 短期看涨偏见完好无损 and could allow buyers to push higher.
  • 0.6287-0.6301 – If the price breaks below 0.6334 but 在这里找到支持, buyers remain in play. However, a deeper drop could 加强卖家控制.
  • 低于0.6287 – Expect increased 下跌动能 if this level is breached.

• 抵抗水平：

  • 0.64139（38.2%回撤） – A break above this level could shift focus toward higher targets.
  • 0.64419（100日移动平均线） – This is a 主要看涨触发因素, as AUDUSD has not traded above its 100-自2024年10月以来的一天MA. A sustained move above would 强化看涨情绪 from a technical standpoint.

交易员将密切关注买家是否能够将控制权维持在关键支撑位上方，以维持近期的上涨势头，或者卖家是否利用澳大利亚央行的鸽派决定压低澳元兑美元。