美元兑日元在突破多个关键技术位后面临压力，近期倾向坚定地转向下行。

The break below the 收敛的100和200条移动平均线 on the 4-hour chart, along with the 9月低点至3月高点（149.22-149.30）50%回撤, marked the initial bearish trigger. That move was compounded by the clean break below recent 低点在148.56、148.72和148.10, indicating growing downside momentum.

The pair has since moved into a key 147.23和147.33之间的摆动区域, where price briefly paused. Just above that is the 61.8%回撤位至146.94, which has now turned into a near-term resistance level, along with the recent low at 146.53.

As long as price stays 低于146.94-147.34区域, the technical bias remains tilted to the downside. A move back above this resistance cluster would weaken the bearish structure and open the door for a potential retracement higher.

不利的一面是, traders are eyeing the next major support between 144.40和144.52 — a level that could act as a downside target if selling pressure persists.

关键技术水平：

• 熊市突破：低于149.22-149.30（50% + 100/200 bar MA）

• 突破摇摆低点：148.56、148.72、148.10

• 阻力区：146.94（61.8%）至147.34

• 支持目标：144.40-144.52