The NZDUSD is under pressure as selling momentum picks up following a failed attempt to reach the 本周早些时候38.2%回撤位0.5844. The inability to break higher, coupled with a drop below key moving averages, has shifted control to the sellers.

关键技术发展：

• 38.2%撤回失败： The high for the week failed to reach 0.5844, signaling weak bullish momentum.
• 打破上周的摇摆高点： The pair initially moved above last week’s highs but failed to sustain gains, leading to an increase in selling pressure.
• 100-一天破碎MA： The price is now trading below the 100-日移动平均线0.57425, a bearish technical development.
• 支持100/200 Bar MA（4 H图表）： The next downside target is the 100-4小时图表上的bar和200 bar MA, where buyers may look to step in again.
• 200-Bar MA上周举行了支持： This level provided strong support last week, stalling declines twice.

展望：

• 只要价格保持在100日均线0.57425以下（收盘风险），熊市偏见就会持续存在。回到上方，可能会有一些买盘，昨天的低点是下一个目标0.57716。
• 如果卖家保持控制权，4小时图表上可能会向100/200 bar MA（约0.57098至56983）移动。
• 如果价格反弹，需要关注的阻力位为0.5771（突破100日均线）和0.5817。

技术状况表明卖家正在占据上风，但下方的关键移动平均线可能会为买家提供暂时的缓解。对4小时图表上200条MA的最后两次测试阻止了上周交易中的下跌。MA为0.56983