Data: Polymarket predicts that the probability of "the United States establishing a national reserve of Bitcoin in 2025" is tentatively reported at 51%"
On February 1, Polymarket predicted that the probability of "the United States establishing a national reserve of Bitcoin in 2025" would reach 51%, which was about 14% lower than the previous high of 65%. Currently, the cumulative bet amount of this forecast reaches US$581,400, and the deadline is December 31, 2025. The criterion is that the U.S. government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves, excluding Bitcoin confiscated by the U.S. government. The main source of determination will be official information from the U.S. government or the Federal Reserve, and credible reports with consensus recognition will also be referred to.
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