According to online reports, Capital Investment said that the outcome of the U.S. presidential election is still difficult to predict, but Donald Trump does seem to be gradually leading in some key swing states. Near 11:30 p.m. EST, The New York Times believed that Trump had a 91% probability of winning, and expected him to win 300 electoral votes, far above the 270 threshold, and Trump's probability of winning on Polymarket is 94%. The agency also pointed out that the market has responded, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note rising to 4.42% from 4.30% a day earlier. The U.S. dollar strengthened, especially against the Mexican peso, with stock futures rising 1.2%.