関税ニュースを通じた主要な通貨ペアのロードマップ
EURUSD のテクニカル EURUSD は、米国セッション中に上昇し、 100 時間移動平均と 200 時間移動平均から離れて押し、 1 の間のスイングエリアを短期間上回りました。
EURUSD moved higher during the U.S. session, pushing away from the 100-200 時間移動平均 and briefly breaking above the 1.0848 と 1.0859 の間のスイングエリア. However, the upside momentum フジズド, and the pair has since fallen back そのゾーン内. Despite the pullback, バイヤーはまだ優位性を持ち, with the pair remaining above both the 100 / 200 時間 MA and the 200-DAY MA.
Last week’s 200 日移動平均 1.0 731 でサポートが見つかりました, which also aligns closely with the 2 月 28 日から 38.2% のリトレース, reinforcing the significance of that level. To shift control back to sellers, the price would need to 100 / 200 時間の MAs を下回る, followed by a break beneath the 1.0776 — 1.0760 ゾーン. Below that, focus would turn to the key support between 1.0 727 と 1.0 731 (200-day MA and 38.2% retracement).
On the upside, the 1.0936 と 1.0951 の間の 3 月の高値 serve as the next major resistance zone. A break above that level could trigger a 新鮮な逆向きの絞り込み, even amid broader economic uncertainty, including trade tensions. Encouragingly for the euro, there's growing awareness in Europe of the need for 財政支出の増加, particularly in 防御, and the urgency to become より経済的に競争力.
USDCAD has experienced volatile swings in both directions, largely influenced by shifting trade and tariff rhetoric. The most dramatic spike occurred when the pair surged to a high of 1.4793 following the メキシコとカナダに対する 25% の関税の発表 over border and fentanyl trafficking concerns. That tension eased as Canada (and Mexico) responded by increasing border personnel, which helped de-escalate the situation. While it’s unclear what will be considered “enough,” the initial fears over fentanyl smuggling appeared to give Canada some reprieve.
Since then, additional tariff-related headlines—such as proposed duties on 自動車 · 自動車部品—have had a more muted impact. On the downside, occasional 関税に関する前向きな進展や期待 have pressured the pair, with brief moves below the 1.4269 で 38.2% リトレース, though downside momentum has failed to sustain. Notably, the 1.4238 付近の最近の安値 (seen on March 6 and March 26) have helped define a firm floor.
From a technical standpoint, price has largely oscillated within a 1.4236 と 1.4540 の間の値領域—a range that has contained most trading since mid-December. Just above the lower end of that range sits the 100 日移動平均 1.4272 で上昇, with the 38.2% リトレース (1.4269) just below. A sustained break beneath these levels could さらなるダウンサイドへの扉を開く, with the next key support seen near 1.4195 — 1.4183, followed by the 2 月の安値 1.4149 〜 1.4166.
On the topside, resistance is layered, starting with the 100-1.4325 と 1.4340 の間の 4 時間チャートの 200 バー移動平均線. A break above that zone would shift the focus to the 1.4403 — 1.4412 面積, followed by the 1.4448 と 1.4471 の間のスイングハイ. A move through that range opens the path toward a retest of the 3 月 4 日の高値 1.4540.
GBPUSD, much like EURUSD, has been trading within a well-defined 3 月上旬以降の連結範囲, as seen in the red box on the chart. This range is bounded by a 1.2860 で安値 and a 1.3014 の高値, with the 100-時間移動平均と 200 時間移動平均 currently positioned at 1.2934 and 1.2928, respectively.
Earlier in the North American session, these moving averages acted as 堅実なサポート, giving buyers the confidence to push the pair higher. The price is now trading in a 1.2970 と 1.2988 の間のスイングエリア, just below the March high at 1.3014.
A 1.2988 を上回るブレイク, followed by a move through the 3 月最高値 1.3014, would open the door to さらなる上昇のモメンタム. On the flip side, if the price 1.2970 を下回る with conviction, sellers may look to retest the 100-200 時間移動平均.
A 平均を下回る could trigger a deeper move toward the 範囲の下端は at 1.2860 — 1.2868. Further downside targets include the 3 月のレンジ 1.2840 の 38.2% リトレースメント, followed by the 200-1 日移動平均 1.2808.
USDJPY has experienced choppy price action over the past week, with upside attempts 38.2% の retracement 近くで止まり of the decline from the January high. The key resistance area includes the 最近の最高値 151.25 and the 200-1 日移動平均 151.48. A break above these levels would be needed to shift the bias firmly バイヤーに有利に戻ります.
Today's trading has seen the pair settle into a 中立地帯 ahead of anticipated 関税関連の見出し, with prices hovering near 150.06, just above a key technical area between 149.88 と 150.0 3—which includes the 100-200 時間移動平均. This zone serves as a 短期バロメーター: holding above it suggests a more 強気傾き, while a break back below would increase 弱気圧.
On the downside, the first target comes in at the 149.11 と 149.23 の間のスイングエリア, followed by another 148.56 と 148.72 の間のサポートゾーン. A sustained move below that would open the door toward 148.11, a more significant support level.
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