関税は USDCAD に大きな影響を与えている。脅威があれば、 USDCAD は上昇する傾向があります。プレッシャーがオフであれば、価格は下落することができます。いわゆる「解放の日」は 4 月 2 日であり、市場が関係し、それとともに USDCAD が上昇しています。

Technically, the USDCAD is showing renewed bullish momentum after bouncing from a key support confluence last week. The pair found buyers near the 100-1 日移動平均 1.4269, which also aligns with a key swing area dating back to December. The failed break below this zone resulted in a sharp rebound, keeping the broader range structure intact.

In early North American trading, price action has climbed back above both the 100-4 時間チャートの 200 バー移動平均線, currently at 1.4318 and 1.4344 respectively. Holding above these levels shifts short-term bias in favor of the bulls.

The next upside target lies within the 1.4448 — 1.4471 resistance area—an upper boundary that has repeatedly capped rallies for over three months. A break above this zone would suggest a potential breakout from the prolonged range and could open the door toward 1.4495 and even 1.4660, if supported by fundamentals like tariff developments.

On the downside, a move back below 1.4318 and especially 1.4269 would negate this bullish tilt and place sellers back in control, with 1.4236 and 1.4168 acting as next supports.

主な技術レベル ：

• サポート： 1.4318 （200—bar MA） 、 1.4269 （スイング + 100 日 MA） 、 1.4236

• 抵抗： 1.4401 （先週より高値） 、 1.4448 — 1.4471 （キーレンジ） 、 1.45399 （ 3 月より高値）