The USD / CAD continued its upward momentum yesterday, breaking above a key swing level at 1.4366 before pushing through the 38.2% リトレース of the February high-to-low decline at 1.4395. This move signaled renewed buying interest, propelling the pair to a new corrective high of 1.4452 before sellers emerged.

That high pushed the price into a 1.4448 と 1.4471 の間の主要な抵抗ゾーン, an area that has been technically significant in recent months. This zone marks the 統合範囲の上限は that defined trading from mid-December to late January. Volatility increased after the トランプ · カナダ関税, briefly driving the price above this range before falling below the lower boundary at 1.4268 in February.

With USD/CAD now back inside this 前の統合ゾーン, momentum favors a potential retest of the upper boundary at 1.4471. This level also coincides with the 2 月の取引範囲の 50% 中間点, making it a crucial pivot point for determining the next directional move.

注目すべきキーレベル

• サポート： The 1.4395 で 38.2% のリトレース (broken yesterday) now acts as a key short-term support. A move below this level would shift focus to the next support at 1.4366, a previously broken resistance level.
• 抵抗： The 1.4471 level remains the major upside barrier. A confirmed break above this area would strengthen the bullish case and open the door for further gains.

市場バイアスと展望

• 強気シナリオ： If buyers 1.4395 を超えて, the short-term bias remains bullish, with a push toward 1.4471 likely. A breakout beyond this level would confirm stronger upside momentum.
• 弱気なシナリオ： Failure to hold 1.4395 could lead to a deeper pullback, with 1.4366 as the next downside target. A move below this level would bring the broader consolidation range (Red Box) back into play, shifting the bias lower.

For now, バイヤーはコントロールし続ける, but the レッドボックス統合ゾーン still looms as a potential limiter. Keep an eye on 短期バイアスの手がかりは 1.4395—holding above it supports further upside, while a break below could see renewed downside pressure.