The EURUSD surged to its highest level since February 2022 on Friday, reaching a peak of 1.1473. That high came up just short of the key resistance zone between 1.1482 と 1.1516—a swing area that capped gains in early 2022. After failing to break that ceiling, the pair rotated lower, finding support at a critical confluence of technical levels.

Friday’s pullback bottomed at 1.12738, a zone packed with significance. That level sits just above the 38.2% リトレース of last week’s strong rally at 1.12495, and more importantly, aligns with both the 2023 年 7 月の高値 1.1275 and the 2020 年から 2022 年の下落全体の 61.8% の retracement 1.1270. This 1.1270 — 1.1275 サポートエリアが重要です. Holding above it keeps the short-term bullish bias intact. Break below, and sellers may start to build confidence, especially if the price slips further beneath the 38.2% retracement on the hourly chart.

Buyers and sellers are clearly locked in a tug-of-war near these elevated levels. However, the より広範な技術的バイアスはまだ強気に有利に傾いています. Last week’s breakout pushed the pair above the July 2023 high, and that level continues to act as a floor. For sellers to truly seize control, they must break—and hold—below the ゾーン 1.1270 — 1.1275. Until then, the technical advantage remains with the buyers.