今天，新西兰元兑美元正在反弹 after sellers failed to sustain a break below the lows from earlier this week and back in February. That failed breakdown gave buyers an opening, and they’ve taken advantage by pushing the price higher.

The rally, however, has 在0.5581和0.5592之间的熟悉摇摆区域内停滞 (see red-numbered circles on the chart). While this zone was breached on both Monday and again yesterday, momentum faded each time. Despite the false breaks, the zone continues to act as a 关键短期晴雨表 for buyers and sellers.

A clean move above—and hold—through this area could open the door toward the 周一低点0.5647, followed by a 临界阻力集群为0.5706. That zone is reinforced by:

• The 100-和4小时图表上的200 bar MA

• The 100-日均线

On the downside, immediate support comes in at 0.5539, the swing low from January 10 and 13. A break below that would shift focus to the 下一关键区域0.5507-0.5516.

For now, 卖家仍保持更广泛的控制权, but buyers are gaining some traction after the failure on the break to new lows. The 短期偏见 will be determined by a break above 0.55918. On the downside watch 0.55398 for short-term dip buying potential.